2014
DOI: 10.1175/jhm-d-13-0110.1
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Examining the Relationship between Drought Development and Rapid Changes in the Evaporative Stress Index

Abstract: In this study, the ability of a new drought metric based on thermal infrared remote sensing imagery to provide early warning of an elevated risk for drought intensification is assessed. This new metric, called the rapid change index (RCI), is designed to highlight areas undergoing rapid changes in moisture stress as inferred from weekly changes in the evaporative stress index (ESI) generated using the Atmosphere-Land Exchange Inverse (ALEXI) surface energy balance model. Two case study analyses across the cent… Show more

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Cited by 125 publications
(85 citation statements)
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“…The ESI has been shown to agree well with other drought indicators like the U.S. Drought Monitor (USDM) and Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), but can be developed at significantly higher spatial resolution -constrained primarily by the resolution of the TIR inputs (Anderson et al, 2011. The ESI also has capabilities for early warning of rapid drought onset (or "flash drought") events (Otkin et al, 2018), conveyed by thermal signals of elevated canopy and soil temperatures that precede visible degradation in the vegetation canopy (Otkin et al, , 2014Anderson et al, 2011Anderson et al, , 2013. Correlations between ESI and reported crop yields have been investigated in the U.S. (Otkin et al, 2016;Mladenova et al, 2017), Brazil (Anderson et al, 2016a), and the Czech Republic (Anderson et al, 2016b), demonstrating capacity to explain regional yield variability in water limited crop growing regions, in many cases providing higher correlations than vegetation index or precipitation anomalies.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 82%
“…The ESI has been shown to agree well with other drought indicators like the U.S. Drought Monitor (USDM) and Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), but can be developed at significantly higher spatial resolution -constrained primarily by the resolution of the TIR inputs (Anderson et al, 2011. The ESI also has capabilities for early warning of rapid drought onset (or "flash drought") events (Otkin et al, 2018), conveyed by thermal signals of elevated canopy and soil temperatures that precede visible degradation in the vegetation canopy (Otkin et al, , 2014Anderson et al, 2011Anderson et al, , 2013. Correlations between ESI and reported crop yields have been investigated in the U.S. (Otkin et al, 2016;Mladenova et al, 2017), Brazil (Anderson et al, 2016a), and the Czech Republic (Anderson et al, 2016b), demonstrating capacity to explain regional yield variability in water limited crop growing regions, in many cases providing higher correlations than vegetation index or precipitation anomalies.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 82%
“…Others have been developed for broader-scale application and are built on physical relationships describing the water and energy transfer at the land surface (Norman et al, 1995;Su, 2002;Fisher et al, 2008;Miralles et al, 2011a). While traditional applications of evaporation estimates have been directed towards agricultural monitoring (Allen, 2000), catchment water budgets and basin-scale water management (Kustas et al, 1994;Granger, 2000), more recent applications of evaporation products have included detection and prediction of heatwaves Miralles et al, 2014a), droughts (Mu et al, 2012;Otkin et al, 2014) and in resolving the likely contribution of human-induced climate change on such events (Greve et al, 2014).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…1), and study regions (Anderson et al, 2011;Choi et al, 2011;French et al, 2015). The TSEB has been incorporated into observational ET systems (Otkin et al, 2014). Along with the TSEB, other modeling approaches have used satellite inputs to parameterize E and T using a variety of models, including Penman-Monteith (Cleugh et al, 2007;Mu et al, 2011) and the Soil-Water-Atmosphere-Plant model (Kroes et al, 2000).…”
Section: Advances In Remote Sensing Of Partitioned Fluxesmentioning
confidence: 99%