Exploration of Multiple Linear Regression with Ensembling Schemes for Roof Fall Assessment using Machine Learning

Abstract

Roof fall of the building is the major threat to the society as it results in severe damages to the life of the people. Recently, engineers are focusing on the prediction of roof fall of the building in order to avoid the damage to the environment and people. Early prediction of Roof fall is the social responsibility of the engineers towards existence of health and wealth of the nation. This paper attempts to identify the essential attributes of the Roof fall dataset that are taken from the UCI Machine learning repository for predicting the existence of roof fall. In this paper, the important features are extorted from the various ensembling methods like Gradient Boosting Regressor, Random Forest Regressor, AdaBoost Regressor and Extra Trees Regressor. The extracted feature importance of each of the ensembling methods is then fitted with multiple linear regression to analyze the performance. The same extracted feature importance of each of the ensembling methods are subjected to feature scaling and then fitted with multiple linear regression to analyze the performance. The Performance analysis is done with the performance parameters such as Mean Squared Log Error (MSLE), Mean Absolute error (MAE), R2 Score, Mean Squared error (MSE) and Explained Variance Score (EVS). The execution is carried out using python code in Spyder Anaconda Navigator IP Console. Experimental results shows that before feature scaling, Extra Tree Regressor is found to be effective with the MSE of 0.06, MAE of 0.07, R2 Score of 87%, EVS of 0.89 and MSLE of 0.02 as compared to other ensembling methods. In the same way, after applying feature scaling, the feature importance extracted from the Extra Tree Regressor is found to be effective with the MSE of 0.04, MAE of 0.03, R2 Score of 96%, EVS of 0.9 and MSLE of 0.01 as compared to other ensembling methods.