Exploring citizen turnout and invalid voting in Indonesia: two sides of the same coin?

Fossati, Diego; Coma, Ferrán Martínez i

doi:10.1080/13569775.2019.1690210

Cited by 7 publications

(5 citation statements)

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“…Recently, corruption has also been used as a proxy for protest in voting models, because a belief that politics is rigged can easily trigger antagonistic political behavior such as invalid voting. Generally, high perceptions of political corruption among government officials can hinder the efforts of political elites to bring people to the polls if they are perceived as insincere (Fossati and Martinez i Coma 2020). In terms of a direct relationship, the literature has found that at the aggregate level higher perceived corruption levels increase invalid ballots under compulsory voting (Martinez i Coma and Werner 2019).…”

Section: Conceptualization Research Questions and Hypothesesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“… 2 Beyond Latin America, in Indonesia, there always was a natural association between invalid voting and protest participation (Fossati and Martinez i Coma 2020), and in Spain’s Basque province, blank/null ballots can be directly traced to protest mobilization because local organizations explicitly called for invalid voting among sympathizers (Superti 2020). …”

Section: Notesmentioning

confidence: 99%

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“I Would Prefer Not To”: Establishing the Missing Link between Invalid Voting and Public Protest in Latin America

Lioy

2024

Lat Am Polit Soc

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While invalid voting is often treated as protest behavior in an electoral context, its association with actual political protests has not yet been empirically demonstrated. The relative scarcity of research on the topic is likely due to the hybrid nature of invalid voting as a both formal and informal political gesture. The novel availability of event-based data for public protests in Latin America allows for testing whether their occurrence is connected with changes in spoiled and blank ballots. Using an appropriate dynamic regression model covering variations in the 148 intervals between Latin American legislative elections in the 1979–2021 period, this study finds a strong connection between the emergence of antigovernment protests and surges in invalid voting (and vice versa). This relationship still holds at parity of economic conditions and it is reinforced by a lack of alternation in the party of power. Conversely, the appearance of workers’ strikes appears to work as a substitute for this behavior, which is also chosen by voters when democracy deteriorates, while corruption has no independent impact on invalid voting. Overall this work’s findings promise to send the research agenda on invalid voting in a new direction, previously unexplored because of an absence of fitting data.

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Section: Conceptualization Research Questions and Hypothesesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Notesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“I Would Prefer Not To”: Establishing the Missing Link between Invalid Voting and Public Protest in Latin America

Lioy

2024

Lat Am Polit Soc

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“…At the end of the 1990s, against the backdrop of a devastating economic crisis, massive student-led protests forced President Suharto's resignation, and Indonesia began its transition from a stable authoritarian regime to one of the world's most vibrant multi-party democracies. Indonesians quickly embraced their new democratic system: electoral participation has been among the highest in the region (Fossati and Martinez i Coma, 2020), a vibrant associational life has ensured high levels of civic engagement (Lussier and Fish, 2012) and survey research has generally found high levels of democratic support (Mujani et al, 2018).…”

Section: Polarization People and Democratic Decline In Indonesiamentioning

confidence: 99%

Why democrats abandon democracy: Evidence from four survey experiments

2021

Self Cite

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In several world regions, democracy is in retreat. This retreat is taking place amid growing polarization in many countries, and analysts are increasingly concerned with the role that deepening political divisions play in processes of democratic decline. This article investigates the relationship between partisan polarization and deteriorating public support for democratic institutions. It leverages the case of Indonesia, a major third-wave democracy now in the midst of a democratic regression. Indonesia’s political landscape has become more ideologically polarized in recent years, despite the strength of clientelist networks and low levels of party identification. Using four survey experiments, we find that Indonesians embrace illiberal interventions and abandon democratic institutions when exposed to party and leadership cues. These results suggest that political polarization may prompt citizens to abandon democratic norms even in democracies without strong partisan identities.

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“…Yet this deficit is unjustified as both can fruitfully be examined in a single analytical framework. 44 Invalid (usually blank and/or null) votes often constitute a non-trivial share of all votes cast in elections, and their presence does not bode well for the democratic legitimacy of the election. They are a heterogenous group that may result from different causal pathways depending on whether it is the voter or the electoral authority that invalidates the ballot.…”

Section: Csoes and Invalid Votingmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Unintended Costs and Unfulfilled Promises of Concurrent Elections: A Natural Experiment on Turnout and Invalid Voting

Lysek

Kouba

2021

East European Politics and Societies: and Cultures

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Holding two second-order elections simultaneously is expected to increase electoral participation. We exploit a natural experiment in which one group of Czech precincts was “as if” randomly assigned to holding subnational elections concurrently with senatorial ones. Using a unique data set containing variables on more than thirteen thousand precincts in five elections between 2000 and 2016, we detect a modest effect of concurrency only in the first election but no or inconsistent effect in the four subsequent contests. Furthermore, we report a strong effect of concurrency on invalid voting. We check for robustness using difference-in-differences design and matching techniques. Incongruent with existing theories, concurrency does not deliver on its promises and may come at a substantial cost to political representation. The surprising null effect on turnout is attributable to analyzing the effect of concurrency of the less salient on more salient elections.

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Exploring citizen turnout and invalid voting in Indonesia: two sides of the same coin?

Abstract: Exploring citizen turnout and invalid voting in Indonesia: Two sides of the same coin?

Cited by 7 publications

References 50 publications

“I Would Prefer Not To”: Establishing the Missing Link between Invalid Voting and Public Protest in Latin America

“I Would Prefer Not To”: Establishing the Missing Link between Invalid Voting and Public Protest in Latin America

Why democrats abandon democracy: Evidence from four survey experiments

The Unintended Costs and Unfulfilled Promises of Concurrent Elections: A Natural Experiment on Turnout and Invalid Voting

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