International audienceAlthough many fully decentralized content distribution systems have been proposed, they often lack key capabilities that make them difficult to deploy and use in practice. In this paper, we look at the particular problem of content consumption prediction, a crucial mechanism in many such systems. We propose a novel, fully decentralized protocol that uses the tags attached by users to on-line content, and exploits the properties of self-organizing kNN overlays to rapidly estimate the potential of a particular content without explicit aggregation