Forecasting As Method Of Internal Control Of Production Activities In Agricultural Organizations

Abstract

In modern conditions, the economic efficiency of internal control of production activities in agricultural organizations is determined by the reliability of the reflection of the information obtained during the control and the assessment of the prospects for the further functioning of the organization on the basis of analysis and forecasting. The article discusses the features of forecasting as a method of internal control of the production activities of agricultural organizations, aimed at determining the main indicators of their production activities, reflecting the relationships and patterns of development based on a detailed analysis of market conditions and changes in them for the coming period. The authors' definition of the concept of "forecasting" is given, which is interpreted as a specific method of internal control, focused on determining the main indicators of the production activity of an agricultural organization taking into account market conditions. The role and place of forecasting in the system of internal control of production activities of agricultural organizations are determined due to the close unity of specific tasks and directions of control actions. An economic and mathematical model based on the definition of guaranteed production in the crop growing industry and focused on obtaining the maximum amount of revenue is proposed. The goals of forecasting the production activity of agricultural organizations are substantiated, depending on which various economic and mathematical models differing in the degree of aggregation of the indicators included in the model can be used.