2018
DOI: 10.3311/ppci.11930
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Forecasting Daily Water Consumption: a Case Study in Torun, Poland

Abstract: This paper presents Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) methods for predicting future daily water consumption values based on three antecedent records of water consumption and humidity forecast for a given day, which are considered as independent variables. Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) is obtained for different configurations of the input sets and of the ANN model structure. Additionally, sets of explanatory variables are enhanced with dummy variables indicating typica… Show more

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Cited by 13 publications
(18 citation statements)
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References 21 publications
(24 reference statements)
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“…In water supply systems, one of the main objectives is reducing the water losses by preventing failures in water intakes and networks. Consequently, integrated water management systems employ the support of advanced computer models and artificial neural networks to achieve this goal [13][14][15]. The rainwater harvesting (RWH) is promoted as a widely available, alternative source of water for an entire range of uses, including household purposes, and its implementation in residential buildings are regarded as economically and ecologically beneficial, as long as adequate maintenance and operation are guaranteed [16].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In water supply systems, one of the main objectives is reducing the water losses by preventing failures in water intakes and networks. Consequently, integrated water management systems employ the support of advanced computer models and artificial neural networks to achieve this goal [13][14][15]. The rainwater harvesting (RWH) is promoted as a widely available, alternative source of water for an entire range of uses, including household purposes, and its implementation in residential buildings are regarded as economically and ecologically beneficial, as long as adequate maintenance and operation are guaranteed [16].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The downward trend in water consumption by urban households in Poland is confirmed by numerous studies (Heidrich and Jędrzejkiewicz, 2007;Gorączko and Pasela, 2015;Piasecki et al, 2018). Many factors influenced the drop in water consumption.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 71%
“…Water supply systems damages, mainly household connection failures, are still the current problem, analysed in the literature in many aspectsforecasting [7,8], analysis of network condition [9,10], development of techniques of leakage detection and evaluation of technical status of conduits. Among the consequences of the water supply household connections leakages, two items ought to be mentioned.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%