2013
DOI: 10.1002/clen.201000402
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Forecasting Hourly Roadside Particulate Matter in Taipei County of Taiwan Based on First‐Order and One‐Variable Grey Model

Abstract: In this study, seven types of first‐order and one‐variable grey differential equation model (abbreviated as GM (1, 1) model) were used to forecast hourly roadside particulate matter (PM) including PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations in Taipei County of Taiwan. Their forecasting performance was also compared. The results indicated that the minimum mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), mean squared error (MSE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and maximum correlation coefficient (R) was 11.70%, 60.06, 7.75, and 0.90%,… Show more

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Cited by 33 publications
(22 citation statements)
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“…Furthermore, the research on the mechanisms of air pollution is still in a discovery phase. In 2003, Dr. Pai and his colleges adopted grey system method on air pollution study, and confirmed it effectiveness [8]. Thus, we used the grey relational analysis to study the nonlinear multiple-dimensional model of the social economic activities and the impacts on air pollution.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 85%
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“…Furthermore, the research on the mechanisms of air pollution is still in a discovery phase. In 2003, Dr. Pai and his colleges adopted grey system method on air pollution study, and confirmed it effectiveness [8]. Thus, we used the grey relational analysis to study the nonlinear multiple-dimensional model of the social economic activities and the impacts on air pollution.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 85%
“…Pai et al [8] confirmed the effectiveness of adopting the grey system method to study air pollution problems and their main determinants. However, they utilized grey analysis method on forecasting air pollution, but failed to explore the causes of pollution [8]. Thus, in this study, we focus on the most serious air polluted region, the capital of China, and explore the relationship between the socio-economic development and the air quality in Beijing.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 95%
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“…The forecasting of air quality became popular, many methods have been purposed for forecasting air quality such as hidden Markov model [15], first-order and one-variable grey model [16], developed support vector machine [17], fuzzy time series model [18][19] [25], Solar Radiation [26], and Fuzzy-AHP [27].…”
Section: Related Workmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, many researchers have been focusing on these types of forecasts [4][5][6][7][8]. The most common forecasting approaches are numerical models and statistical models.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%