Forecasting the demand for advanced Russian-made civil aircraft

Клочков, В В; Gusmanov, T. M.

doi:10.1134/s1075700707020025

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Forecasting the Impact Of Sanctions On The Industry's Contribution To Russian Gdp And Welfare Of The Population1

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“…Despite the fact that the target level in the world market share of civilian aircraft, set by the State program for the development of the industry [3], is 3.6%, which is comparable to Russia's share in global sales, it has not yet been reached, even with regard to the order of magnitude. In other words, even in the domestic Russian market, imported aircraft predominate, and there is no guarantee that, even after the market launch of a new generation of Russian aircraft, the targeted world market share of civilian aircraft will be achieved (for more details, see [13]).…”

Section: Forecasting the Impact Of Sanctions On The Industry's Contribution To Russian Gdp And Welfare Of The Populationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Forecasting the impact of economic sanctions on the development of the Russian aircraft industry

Клочков

Kritskaya

2017

Stud. Russ. Econ. Dev.

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⎯The article has analyzed the prospects for the development of Russia's aircraft industry in the context of international economic sanctions. It has been shown that the forced localization of the entire technological chain of aircraft production in Russia may lead to the increase in the contribution of the industry to Russia's GDP. However, since the national labor productivity is lower than the world average, the development of the industry's production potential would require a significant rise in investment.

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Section: Forecasting the Impact Of Sanctions On The Industry's Contribution To Russian Gdp And Welfare Of The Populationmentioning

confidence: 99%