2017
DOI: 10.1002/eap.1460
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Forest management scenarios in a changing climate: trade‐offs between carbon, timber, and old forest

Abstract: Balancing economic, ecological, and social values has long been a challenge in the forests of the Pacific Northwest, where conflict over timber harvest and old-growth habitat on public lands has been contentious for the past several decades. The Northwest Forest Plan, adopted two decades ago to guide management on federal lands, is currently being revised as the region searches for a balance between sustainable timber yields and habitat for sensitive species. In addition, climate change imposes a high degree o… Show more

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Cited by 80 publications
(47 citation statements)
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References 100 publications
(195 reference statements)
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“…Broad-scale scenario analyses have predicted negative effects of climate change on a number of services and biodiversity indicators (Sala, 2000;Schröter et al, 2005;Seidl, Schelhaas, Rammer, & Verkerk, 2014;Thomas et al, 2004;Thuiller et al, 2011). Yet, few studies have simultaneously estimated climate change impacts on multiple ESB indicators and quantified their associations (Creutzburg, Scheller, Lucash, LeDuc, & Johnson, 2017;Irauschek, Rammer, & Lexer, 2017). Moreover, the climate sensitivity of ESB may vary with structural and compositional changes induced by forest aging (Boulanger, Taylor, Price, Cyr, & Sainte-Marie, 2018;Pan et al, 2011).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Broad-scale scenario analyses have predicted negative effects of climate change on a number of services and biodiversity indicators (Sala, 2000;Schröter et al, 2005;Seidl, Schelhaas, Rammer, & Verkerk, 2014;Thomas et al, 2004;Thuiller et al, 2011). Yet, few studies have simultaneously estimated climate change impacts on multiple ESB indicators and quantified their associations (Creutzburg, Scheller, Lucash, LeDuc, & Johnson, 2017;Irauschek, Rammer, & Lexer, 2017). Moreover, the climate sensitivity of ESB may vary with structural and compositional changes induced by forest aging (Boulanger, Taylor, Price, Cyr, & Sainte-Marie, 2018;Pan et al, 2011).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Moreover, it is likely that climate change impacts will be spatially heterogeneous and nonlinear due to differences in climate, edaphic conditions, and competitive interactions among other factors (Creutzburg et al, 2017;Frey et al, 2016). The climate sensitivity of ESB may also covary with forest age and development.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In the context of a comprehensive consideration of uncertainties in ecosystem service assessments (Runting et al 2017), it is of interest whether management strategies can be developed that simultaneously achieve high stability and a high level of ecosystem services provisioning. While many recent studies have investigated the role of forest management in providing multiple ecosystem services under climate change, as well as dealing with trade-offs between individual services (Temperli et al 2012, Creutzburg et al 2017, Mina et al 2017, the question of whether stability of ecosystem service provisioning comes at the expense of the level of service provisioning has, to our knowledge, not yet been investigated.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Conventional models for forest development would, therefore, extrapolate outside the original population if applied in uneven-aged forests. Moreover, detailed forest-specific thinning instructions might not reconcile with large-area projections based on aggregated spatial scales (cf., Verkerk et al 2014;Creutzburg et al 2017;Mouchet et al 2017). As such, there is a need for flexible tools that can combine detailed instructions with projection capabilities for large areas.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%