Futures Studies in Iran: Learning through trial and error

Paya, Ali; Shoraka, Hamidreza

doi:10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.033

Cited by 12 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 6 publications

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“…The first round of the Delphi was conducted in two places and in two different dates. The first one in Tehran in February 2006 in which sixty-two experts from the above-mentioned fields took part and the second one in Isfahan in early July 2006 in which sixty experts participated (Paya and Baradaran Shoraka, 2010).…”

Section: Pamfa1mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For the second round of the Delphi which is underway at present, the Research and Education Team has prepared, once again, written information to assist the respondents to fill in the questionnaires in a proper way. The same team has also translated a number of scenarios from the exercises carried out in various countries for the main fields considered in PAMFA2 (Paya and Baradaran Shoraka, 2010).…”

Section: Pamfa1mentioning

confidence: 99%

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Impact of Technology Foresight on the Policy-making Process in Iran

Hassanzadeh

Namdarian

Elahi

et al. 2014

Science, Technology and Society

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Technology foresight as a policy intelligence tool, can offer vital inputs for policy-making in various domains. The relationship between foresight and policy-making has been presented in the literature by the policy-related functions of foresight, but the literature reflects a theoretical gap with the systematic evaluation of the impact of foresight on policy-making. So this study tries to bridge the existing gap by development an evaluation model. The data collection tool is a questionnaire and in order to test the proposed model; a sample of fifteen experts is included. In this article a case study is conducted to implement the confirmed model in the real word and Partial Least Squares (PLSs) path analysis is used to advance our understanding of the relationships and the structure of the proposed model. The results confirm the proposed dimensions of the model and provide insight for those who are concerned with this topic.

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Section: Pamfa1mentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Pamfa1mentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact of Technology Foresight on the Policy-making Process in Iran

Hassanzadeh

Namdarian

Elahi

et al. 2014

Science, Technology and Society

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“…The S&T policy in this period also focus more on the creation of heavy and chemical industrialization drive. In the first period of its implementation (1960s & 1970s), Iran's Science & Technology programmes focused more on enforcing foreign direct investment, patents laws, and activating more research institutes such as the Pasteur institute (Paya & Baradaran-Shoraka, 2006;Sarkisian, 2008). In the period of implementing the First economic, social and cultural development plan of Iran 1 (1990)(1991)(1992)(1993)(1994)(1995), the Science &Technology policy was mostly focused on import-substitution industrialization policy.…”

Section: Iranian Experience Of Sti Policymentioning

confidence: 99%

Comparative Analysis for Science,Technology and Innovation Policy; Lessons Learned from Some Selected Countries (Brazil, India, China, South Korea and South Africa) for Other LdCs Like Iran

Safari

Soltanzadeh

2012

Journal of Technology Management & Innovation

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Having recognized the importance of designing Science, Technology and Innovation policies (STIP), many Less Developed Countries (LDCs) such as Iran have nowadays attempt to reshape their STI policies. The policy makers of LDCs like Iran can adopt and design suitable strategies learning from the successful experiences of prosperous nations. This paper performs a comparative analysis of STI policies of some successful countries in managing their technological change. This is mostly due to the fact that the other LDCs can draw valuable lessons from these success stories which in turn can also contribute to success in their own short and long term development. Firstly, the empirical experiences of some successful nations namely (Brazil, India, China, South Africa and South Korea) will be studied. The empirical experience in STI policymaking will be surveyed. The most critical success factors contributed mostly to their management of STI policies will also be compared. Finally, a general framework of STI policymaking drawing from the experiences of these countries will be proposed for other LDCs like Iran.

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“…Yet, financing in S&T projects is not attractive for private sectors in Iran due to the lack of sufficient commercialization infrastructures, weak relations between academic societies and industrial sectors, and the lack of governmental supportive policies to encourage private sectors for engagement in S&T foresight activities (Heidari, 2016, Paya and Shoraka, 2010, Hassanzadeh et al , 2014). Furthermore, the state ownership of main industries mostly tends to manage the organizations with “business as usual” strategy.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In the past decade, a significant number of workshops and academic conferences are organized to discuss various aspects of FS (Paya and Shoraka, 2010). Also, a number of well-known books in this field have been translated into Persian.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analyzing Iran’s science and technology foresight programs: recommendations for further practices

Hafezi

Malekifar

Akhavan

2018

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Purpose Studying previous science and technology (S&T) foresight activities reveals information that helps decision makers to redesign policy-making templates aimed at dealing with new millennium challenges. To propose policy recommendations about further S&T foresight programs in Iran, this paper aims to propose a three-phase process to study historical S&T foresight activities at national and sub-national level since 2005 to 2015, to analyze the state of selected activities to discover weaknesses and potential solutions and, finally, to provide strategies and tactics to improve further S&T foresight activities through an expert-based process. Design/methodology/approach This paper provides a three-stage methodology, designed to survey Iranian historical foresight practices (study) using scoping framework equipped with additional features, diagnosis and evaluating (analyze) and finally proposing recommendations to organize and implement more efficient further foresight practices (design) to initialize further practices in developing countries such as Iran. Findings Although concerns about future and the importance of foresight activities are raised however Iranian foresight community needs to be developed. As noted in Section 5, Iranian foresight facilitators and specialist are biased to limited methodologies and methods; therefore, creating foresight networks and developing communities is strongly recommended. Research limitations/implications The main constraint of this research was lack of valid data in the case of some Iranian S&T foresight programs. Originality/value Iran as a developing country needs to plan for long-run programs; however, there is no integrated study which reviews and analyzes the previous attempts to dedicate insights about how to reframe existing foresight paradigms. As foresight practices facilitate the paths toward sustainability, analyzing and diagnosis of a series of foresight practices in a devolving country may initialize designing such efforts in less developed world.

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Futures Studies in Iran: Learning through trial and error

Cited by 12 publications

References 6 publications

Impact of Technology Foresight on the Policy-making Process in Iran

Impact of Technology Foresight on the Policy-making Process in Iran

Comparative Analysis for Science,Technology and Innovation Policy; Lessons Learned from Some Selected Countries (Brazil, India, China, South Korea and South Africa) for Other LdCs Like Iran

Analyzing Iran’s science and technology foresight programs: recommendations for further practices

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