Geographic analysis of road accident severity index in Nigeria

Abstract

Before 2030, deaths from road traffic accidents (RTAs) will surpass cerebrovascular disease, tuberculosis, and HIV/AIDS. Yet, there is little knowledge on the geographic distribution of RTA severity in Nigeria. Accident Severity Index is the proportion of deaths that result from a road accident. This study analysed the geographic pattern of RTA severity based on the data retrieved from Federal Road Safety Corps (FRSC). The study predicted a two-year data from a historic road accident data using exponential smoothing technique. To determine spatial autocorrelation, global and local indicators of spatial association were implemented in a geographic information system. Results show significant clusters of high RTA severity among states in the northeast and the northwest of Nigeria. Hence, the findings are discussed from two perspectives: Road traffic law compliance and poor emergency response. Conclusion, the severity of RTA is high in the northern states of Nigeria, hence, RTA remains a public health concern.

Road User Attitudes and Their Reported Behaviours in Abuja, Nigeria

“…It is also known that road crash data are not readily available, and in very rare cases where they are available, they are underreported, incomplete, and lack the necessary information needed to tackle existing road safety problems [4]. This is consistent with the opinions of Iyanda [13] and Adeloye et al [14]. Effective data collection; the management of crashes, injuries, and fatalities; as well as categorising vehicles involved in crashes are very important factors in understanding the traffic situation and proffering solutions to traffic safety challenges.…”

Determining the road traffic accident hotspots using GIS-based temporal-spatial statistical analytic techniques in Hanoi, Vietnam

“…SI was integrated in KDE method to investigate accident hotspots on some highways in India. However, temporal-spatial integration was not mentioned (Sandhu et al 2016), despite of using SI in the hotspot study (Iyanda 2019).…”

Effect of poor road network and maintenance on safety and security in Delta State Nigeria: Mixed perceptions in industrialized oil-producing community

“…This is because the necessary factor of whether stakeholders know what to do in a project is missing. This factor of ignorance was implied in the perspective of compliance to traffic laws reported from the northern part of the country [4]. Several studies have made recommendations on 'what to do' in addressing the issue of road traffic accidents on Nigerian roads [8][9][10].…”

“…Nigeria recorded her first traffic accident in Lagos in 1906 and purportedly remained low over a long time in the country due largely to low vehicular population. It argued that from the 1970s following remarkable improvements in the economic prosperity in the country arising from the oil boom, the magnitude of the accident problem increased [4]. However, the effect of bad roads has yet to be really evaluated in some of the oil-producing communities.…”

“…It is known that the restrictive nature of the travelling routes including lack of waterways and railway system, as well as the inability of an average Nigerian to afford the high cost of air travel makes road transportation preferable in Nigeria [4]. The discovery of oil in Nigeria opened new frontiers of economic engagement, especially at the Delta state including Udu local government area (Udu LGA).…”