2016
DOI: 10.1007/s12517-016-2541-4
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Gray algebraic curve model-based roof separation prediction method for the warning of roof fall accidents

Abstract: Roof separation is one of the main precursors of coal mine accidents at the workface. At present, indicator data are usually read in an attempt to understand the real-time changes of the roof separation, but the change trend cannot be predicted. Predicting the change trend of roof separation on time can play a very important role in roof control. In this study, we apply the gray theoretical analysis method to predict the change trend of roof separation. We use Universal Distinct Element Code (UDEC) numerical s… Show more

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Cited by 12 publications
(9 citation statements)
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“…Based on the theory of "up three zones" and the theory of mine pressure, the deformation characteristics of overburden strata in thick and loose thick coal seams are analyzed (He et al 2016;Jiang et al 2016;Zhu et al 2016). Compared with the thin coal seams, as the working face advances, the thick loose seam and thick coal seam roof directly collapses before the working face reaches the falling step (Xie et al 2016;Zhang et al 2016). When the ceiling area continuously expands, the direct roof collapse area continuously expands.…”
Section: Mining Damage Analysismentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Based on the theory of "up three zones" and the theory of mine pressure, the deformation characteristics of overburden strata in thick and loose thick coal seams are analyzed (He et al 2016;Jiang et al 2016;Zhu et al 2016). Compared with the thin coal seams, as the working face advances, the thick loose seam and thick coal seam roof directly collapses before the working face reaches the falling step (Xie et al 2016;Zhang et al 2016). When the ceiling area continuously expands, the direct roof collapse area continuously expands.…”
Section: Mining Damage Analysismentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Therefore, the gray theory analysis method was used to predict the roof separation distance. Combined with the gray algebraic curve model, the early warning system could be established to evaluate the occurrence of roof accidents [25]. The classification of roof grade was closely related to the geological conditions (e.g., faults) and roof strength (e.g., roof caving), which further affected the roof risk assessment [26].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, there are also two outstanding problems in the bolt support of the production mines in the mining area. On the one hand, the bolt support design is too conservative; on the other hand, the roof accidents of the bolt support coal roadway also occur frequently [4][5][6], which becomes the restrictive factor for the widespread application of the bolt support technology in the coal roadway. According to the statistics of coal mine accidents in the country from 2007 to 2016, the number of roof accidents accounts for about 50% of the total coal mine accidents, and the death toll of roof accidents accounts for 35.5% [7].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%