Great Divergence and Great Convergence

Гринин, Леонид; Korotayev, Andrey

doi:10.1007/978-3-319-17780-9

Cited by 131 publications

(59 citation statements)

References 169 publications

(293 reference statements)

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“…Both tendencies are simultaneously present in economic systems; however, in some periods one of these tendencies prevails, whereas in the other periods the other tendency does (see, e.g. , Grinin, 2006Grinin, , 2007aGrinin, , 2007bGrinin 2012a;Grinin L.E., Grinin A. L. 2016;Гpинин, 2003, 2006б, 2009д, 2010a, 2012б, 2013aKorotayev, 2005Korotayev, , 2006Korotayev, , 2007a, 2006bPerez, 2002Perez, , 2011aПepec, 2011 ;Гpинин и Кopoтaeв, 2010 ). Innovation (qualitative) processes are connected with periods of emergence and approbation of new technologies of various types (production technologies, fi nancial technologies, and social technologies-including technologies of counter-crisis management).…”

Section: Are There Endogenous Factors That Generate the Alteration Ofmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…We assume that the fi nal phase will begin in the nearest decades, that is in the 2030s or a bit later, and will last until the 2070s. It will lead to the emergence of many various self-regulating systems (for more detail see Гpинин, 2006a, 2009д, 2012б, 2013aГpинин А. и Гpинин Л., 2013Гpинин Л. и Гpинин А., 2015a . We assume that this technological breakthrough will be at fi rst connected with a breakthrough in the fi eld of new medical (and related) technologies.…”

Section: Global Population Ageing and The Sixth Technological Paradigmmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery

Гринин

Tausch

Korotayev³

2016

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The Springer series International Perspectives on Social Policy, Administration and Practice puts the spotlight on international and comparative studies of social policy, administration, and practice with an up-to-date assessment of their character and development. In particular, the series seeks to examine the underlying assumptions of the practice of helping professions, nonprofi t organization and management, and public policy and how processes of both nation-state and globalization are affecting them. The series also includes specifi c country case studies, with valuable comparative analysis across Asian, African, Latin American, and Western welfare states.The series International Perspectives on Social Policy, Administration and Practice commissions approximately six books per year, focusing on international perspectives on social policy, administration, and practice, especially an East-West connection. It assembles an impressive set of researchers from diverse countries illuminating a rich, deep, and broad understanding of the implications of comparative accounts on international social policy, administration, and practice.More information about this series at

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Section: Are There Endogenous Factors That Generate the Alteration Ofmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Global Population Ageing and The Sixth Technological Paradigmmentioning

confidence: 99%

Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery

Гринин

Tausch

Korotayev³

2016

Self Cite

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“…During the final pre-collapse phases overpopulation leads to further decrease of per capita production, surplus production further decreases, and state revenues shrink, whereas the state needs more and more resources to control the growing, though at lower and lower rates, population. Eventually this leads to state breakdown and demographic collapse, after which a new demographic cycle begins-until the escape from the Malthusian Trap that was started by the advanced economies in Europe and North America in the early 19 th century, and that was followed by the overwhelming majority of the social systems afterwards-with a partial exception of Tropical Africa (see, e.g., Kögel, Prskawetz 2001;Zinkina, Korotayev 2014a;Korotayev, Zinkina 2015;Grinin, Korotayev 2015;Korotayev et al 2016). What kind of territorial expansion/contraction pattern could be generated by such demographic-fiscal dynamics?…”

Section: Hypothesesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends

Korotayev

Zinkina

Andreev³

2017

CDN

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“…Researchers theory, such as Professors Paul Romer and Robert Lucas, have created a model of economic growth, where knowledge is treated as input in the production, which shows growing revenues, while the convergence process is not the only possible result, as in neo-classical models, but also divergence is one of many possible scenarios, based on increasing returns to human capital. Human capital is the main engine of economic growth and the possibility of moving educated people across borders (states) is a cause of divergence of economic integration between the member states of integration groups (Grinin, 2015).…”

Section: Different Perceptions Towards Real Convergence -Addressing Gmentioning

confidence: 99%

Socio-Economic Convergence as a Necessary Precondition and Determinant of Societal Growth

Hudec

2016

Studia Commercialia Bratislavensia

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The issue of socio-economic convergence is nowadays more than ever an extremely dominant topic, especially in the case of less developed countries and countries suffering stagnation, mainly due to the integration processes occurring worldwide and the determinant to achieve long-term growth in an effort to advance towards the socioeconomic sustainable level of developed economies. A key assumption towards convergence is that economies with initially lower socio-economic levels will at some point reach (in an idea case) or get very close the level of developed economies, gradually reducing the gap between the capital stock and the level of product size between countries, while the lower economic level the country has, the higher the growth rate it will go through the transition period. This suggests that the economies with lower levels of performance will grow on average at a higher rate than economies that are more efficient. It is therefore expected that the growth performance of a country will with its improvement also at some point slow down and quite realistically there can also occur a situation where the levels of development and growth of individual states economies will rather show delay. This is basically an opposite action to the concept of convergence, which is known as the divergence. The aim of our research paper is to analyze closely the concept of convergence, while pointing it is specifically characteristics and overall focusing on the significance of the issue of convergence.

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Great Divergence and Great Convergence

Cited by 131 publications

References 169 publications

Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery

Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery

Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends

Socio-Economic Convergence as a Necessary Precondition and Determinant of Societal Growth

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