“…Available information on HABs enabled the development of group-specific predictive models for northwestern Iberia (Palma et al, 2010;Moita et al, 2016;Díaz et al, 2016;Ruiz-Villarreal et al, 2016;Palenzuela et al, 2019;Alaéz et al, 2021). By contrast, knowledge of planktonic HABs over the south and southwest Portuguese coasts is still limited (Moita, 2001), mostly covering the westernmost sector of the south coast (Loureiro et al, 2005(Loureiro et al, , 2011Danchenko et al, 2019;Santos et al, 2021), or specific HAB events (Mateus et al, 2013;Pinto et al, 2016;Caballero et al, 2020). Beyond a mechanistic Lagrangian model previously used for predicting HABs along the southwest and south Portuguese coasts, during a limited period (Silva et al, 2016), no group-specific predictive models for HABs are currently available for the complex coastal domains off southern Portugal.…”