2021
DOI: 10.1101/2021.05.27.21257032
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How immunity from and interaction with seasonal coronaviruses can shape SARS-CoV-2 epidemiology

Abstract: We hypothesised that cross-protection from seasonal epidemics of human coronaviruses (HCoVs) could have affected SARS-CoV-2 transmission, including generating reduced susceptibility in children. To determine what the pre-pandemic distribution of immunity to HCoVs was, we fitted a mathematical model to 6 years of seasonal coronavirus surveillance data from England and Wales. We estimated a duration of immunity to seasonal HCoVs of 7.3 years (95%CI 6.8 - 7.9) and show that, while cross-protection between HCoV a… Show more

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Cited by 2 publications
(2 citation statements)
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“…Its genome is 65% homologous to that of SARS-CoV-2 and, consequently, prior exposure to seasonal HCoV viruses (including 229E) is a likely source of cross-reactive antibodies and the T cell response to SARS-CoV-2 in non-infected individuals. However, the protective role of these in a subsequent SARS-CoV-2 infection is debated [23][24][25]. Similarly, repeated vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 was shown not to induce a significant increase in specific antibodies against the HCoV-229E spike protein [26], suggesting that current vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 do not provide protection against seasonal coronavirus infections.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Its genome is 65% homologous to that of SARS-CoV-2 and, consequently, prior exposure to seasonal HCoV viruses (including 229E) is a likely source of cross-reactive antibodies and the T cell response to SARS-CoV-2 in non-infected individuals. However, the protective role of these in a subsequent SARS-CoV-2 infection is debated [23][24][25]. Similarly, repeated vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 was shown not to induce a significant increase in specific antibodies against the HCoV-229E spike protein [26], suggesting that current vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 do not provide protection against seasonal coronavirus infections.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Studies evaluating the characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 immune response and the influence of pre-existing Abs against CCCoVs [4][5][6][7][8] yielded inconsistent results, providing conflicting evidence for a protective vs. a detrimental role for CCCoV immunity in Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID- 19) pathogenesis and immune responses [7][8][9][10][11]. These inconsistencies may be associated with multiple confounding factors, including age, sex, exposure dose, lifestyle/occupational risks, comorbidities and CCCoV Ab characteristics and levels.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%