2021
DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2020.1865882
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How large is the corporate tax base erosion and profit shifting? A general equilibrium approach

Abstract: The paper uses the computable general equilibrium model CORTAX to analyse the extent of base erosion and profit shifting (BEPS) in the EU, Japan and the US. Our approach estimates the direct fiscal losses of BEPS and accounts for the second round effects, in particular on the cost of capital and corporate investment. Our central estimates show that the net corporate tax revenue losses in the EU are e36.0 billion per year (7.7% of CIT revenues), e24.0 billion in Japan and e100.8 billion in the US (in both cases… Show more

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Cited by 19 publications
(9 citation statements)
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“…In line with multinational companies, tax haven countries have lower and even zero tax rates lower tax expenses. Operating a subsidiary in a tax haven country leads to an operational tax risk due to increased government scrutiny of possible reallocation of income from tax haven operations (Álvarez-Martínez et al, 2021). Another proxy used is operational volatility, directly related to the uncertainty in measuring a firm's annual taxable income and tax payment, which involves higher tax risks (Artemenko et al, 2017).…”
Section: Sample Selectionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In line with multinational companies, tax haven countries have lower and even zero tax rates lower tax expenses. Operating a subsidiary in a tax haven country leads to an operational tax risk due to increased government scrutiny of possible reallocation of income from tax haven operations (Álvarez-Martínez et al, 2021). Another proxy used is operational volatility, directly related to the uncertainty in measuring a firm's annual taxable income and tax payment, which involves higher tax risks (Artemenko et al, 2017).…”
Section: Sample Selectionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We support the opinion of these NGOs that tax avoidance should be kept within the concept of illicit financial flows. There are at least two routes by which tax avoidance can be associated with illicit financial flows, namely: The shifting of profit/resource to tax havens; and The erosion of tax obligations (Alm et al , 2022; Álvarez-Martínez et al , 2022; Hearson, 2014; Ginevra, 2017; Temouri et al , 2022; Ahrens and Bothner, 2020; Mayer and Gendron, 2022; Forstater, 2018; Peng, 2016; Ylönen and Laine, 2015). …”
Section: Developing the Mechanics Of The Embezzler Testmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The practice of Base Erosion and Profit Shifting (BEPS) itself is calculated to result in annual losses amounting to USD 100-240 billion (OECD, 2023). Estimations show that the fiscal losses incurred due to BEPS practices in the European Union amount to EUR 36 billion, EUR 24 billion in Japan, and EUR 100.8 billion in the United States each year (Álvarez-Martínez et al, 2022). Indonesia is estimated to lose USD 4.7 million annually due to corporate tax abuse (O'Hare, 2020).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%