Improving river flow generation over Great Britain in a land surface model required for coupled land-atmosphere interactions

Abstract

Abstract. Land surface models (LSMs) represent terrestrial hydrology in weather and climate modelling operational systems and research studies. Using river flow observations from gauge stations, we study the capability of the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator (JULES) LSM to simulate river flow over 13 catchments in Great Britain, each representing different climatic and topographic characteristics at the 1 km 2 spatial resolution. A series of tests, carried out to identify where the model results are 10 sensitive to the scheme and parameters chosen for runoff production, suggests that different catchments require different parameters and even different runoff schemes to produce the best results. From these results, we introduce a new topographical parametrization that produces the best daily river flow results (in terms of Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency and mean bias) for all 13 catchments. The new parametrization introduces a dependency on terrain slope, constraining surface runoff production to wet soil conditions over flatter regions (like the Thames catchment; Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency above 0.8), whereas over steeper regions the model produces surface 15 runoff for every rainfall event regardless of the soil wetness state. This new parametrization improves the model capability in regional (Great Britain wide) assessments. The new choice of parameters is reinforced by examining the amplitude and phase of the modelled versus observed river flows, via cross-spectral analysis for time scales longer than daily.