Indigenous and Scientific Forecasts on Climate Change Perceptions of Arable Farmers: Rwenzori Region, Western Uganda

Nkuba, Michael Robert; Chanda, Raban; Mmopelwa, Gagoitseope; Adedoyin, Akintayo; Mangheni, Margaret Najjingo; Lesolle, David; Kato, Edward

doi:10.1007/978-3-030-45106-6_113

Cited by 4 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 38 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…Knowledge of shrimp farmers about climate change and its risks is very important and has the potential to be a factor in making decisions, as well as plans for agricultural and fisheries development (Mahmood et al, 2020;Mekonnen et al, 2021;Ogunpaimo et al, 2021;Atube et al, 2021;Zhu et al, 2021). Considering the perceptions of farmer households in designing adaptation policies, will produce a useful adaptation response and potentially minimize the risk of climate change in a sustainable manner (Ali et al, 2021;Addis and Abirdew, 2021;Nkuba et al, 2021). This study has designed the questions presented in the questionnaire and asked during the interview process (see points in Table 4).…”

Section: Farmer Perceptions Of Climate Changementioning

confidence: 99%

Shrimp Farmer’s Perceptions and Adaptation Strategies to the Threat of Climate Change in Bangil District, East Java

Fatahullah,

Toiba,

Sujarwo

2024

ECSOFiM

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

As one of the main stakeholders in the fishing industry, shrimp farmers are directly affected by climate change that causes changes in seawater temperature, rainfall, and unpredictable weather patterns. Related to the issue, the threat to income may be felt by shrimp farmers. Therefore, in this study, we highlight two objectives as a basis for drawing up this article, namely (1) to understand shrimp farmers’ perceptions of climate change, and (2) to identify factors that influence farmers’ decisions in implementing adaptation strategies. There are two types of analysis that we use, namely descriptive analysis and logit regression analysis. Our findings show that the majority of shrimp farmers consider climate change manifested in the form of changes in rainfall patterns (96.21%), increases in pond water temperatures (98.71%), decreases in yield production (95.41%), and increases in shrimp pests and diseases (96.23%). The results of our logit regression analysis show that the decision-making factors of shrimp farmers are significantly influenced. These results indicate that the implementation of adaptation strategies in the fisheries sector can generate significant growth and reduce the risks posed by climate change. As a result, the government needs to encourage the development of more suitable climate change adaptation strategies for small-scale shrimp farmers in Indonesia.

show abstract

Section: Farmer Perceptions Of Climate Changementioning

confidence: 99%

Shrimp Farmer’s Perceptions and Adaptation Strategies to the Threat of Climate Change in Bangil District, East Java

Fatahullah,

Toiba,

Sujarwo

2024

ECSOFiM

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Determining local knowledge, perceptions and awareness of climate change in the local community is key to understanding local concerns about the phenomenon and developing locally relevant climate change adaptation solutions. Indeed, evidence has shown that the influence of indigenous and local knowledge in sector-specific climate change adaptation is high in some African counties including Kenya and shows high evidence of risk reduction (Nkuba et al , 2021; Zvobgo et al , 2022). Local communities’ knowledge can also help to provide information about context-specific climate change impacts.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Perceptions, trends and adaptation to climate change in Yala wetland, Kenya

Githiora,

Owuor,

Abila

et al. 2023

IJCCSM

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Purpose Tropical wetland ecosystems are threatened by climate change but also play a key role in its mitigation and adaptation through management of land use and other drivers. Local-level assessments are needed to support evidence-based wetland management in the face of climate change. This study aims to examine the local communities’ knowledge and perception of climate change in Yala wetland, Kenya, and compare them with observed data on climate trends. Such comparisons are useful to inform context-specific climate change adaptation actions. Design/methodology/approach The study used a mixed methods approach that combined analysis of climate data with perceptions from the local community. Gridded data on temperature and rainfall for the period from 1981 to 2018 were compared with data on climate change perceptions from semi-structured questionnaires with 286 key informants and community members. Findings Majority of the respondents had observed changes in climate parameters – severe drought (88.5%), increased frequency of floods (86.0%) and irregular onset and termination of rains (90.9%) in the past 20 years. The perceptions corresponded with climate trends that showed a significant increasing trend in the short rains and the average maximum temperature, high incidence of very wet years and variability in onset and termination of rainfall between 1981 and 2018. Gender, age and education had little influence on knowledge and awareness of climate change, except for frequency of floods and self-reported understanding of climate change. The community perceived the wetland to be important for climate change adaptation, particularly the provision of resources such as grazing grounds during drought. Research limitations/implications The study faced challenges of low sample size, use of gridded climate data and reproducibility in other contexts. The results of this study apply to local communities in a tropical wetland in Western Kenya, which has a bi-modal pattern of rainfall. The sample of the study was regional and may therefore not be representative of the whole of Kenya, which has diverse socioeconomic and ecological contexts. Potential problems have been identified with the use of gridded data (for example, regional biases in models), although their usefulness in data scarce contexts is well established. Moreover, the sample size has been found to be a less important factor in research of highly complex socio-ecological systems where there is an attempt to bridge natural and social sciences. Practical implications This study addresses the paucity of studies on climate change trends in papyrus wetlands of sub-Saharan Africa and the role of local knowledge and perceptions in influencing the management of such wetlands. Perceptions largely influence local stakeholders’ decisions, and a study that compares perceptions vs “reality” provides evidence for engagement with the stakeholders in managing these highly vulnerable ecosystems. The study showed that the local community’s perceptions corresponded with the climate record and that adaptation measures are already ongoing in the area. Originality/value This study presents a case for the understanding of community perceptions and knowledge of climate change in a tropical wetland under threat from climate change and land use change, to inform management under a changing climate.

show abstract

Factors associated with farmers’ use of indigenous and scientific climate forecasts in Rwenzori region, Western Uganda

et al. 2022

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Although scientific climate forecast (SF) distribution by national climate services has improved over time, farmers seem not to make good use of climate forecasts, a likely contributing factor to vulnerability to climate change. This study investigated factors associated with farmers’ use of SFs and indigenous forecasts (IFs) for agricultural use in the Rwenzori region, western Uganda. Household survey gathered data on demographic characteristics, climate information use and livelihood choices from 580 farmers. Data was analysed using the probit model. Results showed that significant factors associated with using both IFs and SFs were farm size, education, age, reception of scientific forecasts in local languages, agricultural extension access, short-mature crop access, farmer-to-farmer network and accessing forecasts through radio. This study shows that IFs were used complementarily with SFs. On the other hand, significant factors associated with using IFs only were livelihood choices such as tuber and goat production, access to government interventions on climate change adaptations, agro-ecological zone and social capital. Climate risks and climate risk perceptions negatively influenced the use of scientific forecasts. Co-production of climate information, capacity-building and active engagement of stakeholders in dissemination mechanisms can improve climate forecast use. Investments in more weather stations in various districts will therefore be a key factor in obtaining more accurate scientific forecasts and could lead to increased use of scientific climate forecasts. Governments in developing countries, the private sector, global and regional development partners should support investments in weather stations and capacity building of national meteorological systems. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10113-022-01994-0.

show abstract

Indigenous and Scientific Forecasts on Climate Change Perceptions of Arable Farmers: Rwenzori Region, Western Uganda

Cited by 4 publications

References 38 publications

Shrimp Farmer’s Perceptions and Adaptation Strategies to the Threat of Climate Change in Bangil District, East Java

Shrimp Farmer’s Perceptions and Adaptation Strategies to the Threat of Climate Change in Bangil District, East Java

Perceptions, trends and adaptation to climate change in Yala wetland, Kenya

Factors associated with farmers’ use of indigenous and scientific climate forecasts in Rwenzori region, Western Uganda

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About