Information model-based forecasting of technological process state

Klochkov, Yury; Gazizulina, Albina; Golovin, Nikita M.; Glushkova, Antonina; Selezneva, Zhanna V.

doi:10.1109/ictus.2017.8286099

Cited by 29 publications

(14 citation statements)

References 13 publications

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“…According to [36], the use of a significant number of indicators makes the ratings difficult to verify, as well as too cumbersome to be used as a tool for strategic management. Their simplification and alignment with target indicators of regional strategies of "smart" specialization are, thus, required [37].…”

Section: Key Indicators Of Innovation Performancementioning

confidence: 99%

The Assessment of Innovation Development in the Arctic Regions of Russia Based on the Triple Helix Model

et al. 2019

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This article presents the methodology and tools for the econometric analysis and assessment of the innovation development of the Russian Arctic regions, under the Triple Helix concept. The econometric calculations based on this methodology allow the express assessment of innovation development of a region and the contribution of the science and education complex (SEdC), industries, and the government, to the integral index of innovation development of this region, using minimum key statistical indicators in the field of science and innovation. The calculation results obtained using the author’s methodology show the adequacy of the express rating, with respect to the rating data obtained using other methodologies. The main advantage of the proposed methodology is the elimination of the human factors arising from the weighing coefficients and the results of the expert assessments used in the other rating methodologies The calculation results obtained using this methodology might be useful to the executive bodies of state authorities, business entities, and scientific and educational institutions, for an express assessment and for making various organizational and managerial decisions on innovation development in a region.

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Section: Key Indicators Of Innovation Performancementioning

confidence: 99%

The Assessment of Innovation Development in the Arctic Regions of Russia Based on the Triple Helix Model

et al. 2019

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“…Having introduced the term, we tried to relate the magnitude of fluctuations in the number of jobs to the available working-age population. It was also assumed that the stochastic differential is an Ito differential [7,8,40].…”

Section: The Stochastic Model Of Managing the Socio-economic Developmmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The state vector of the region s(t) = [x(t), y(t), z(t)] was defined as the solution of Equations (7) and (9) It should be noted that, due to the properties of the Ito stochastic integral [7,8,40], the averaged trajectory of the solution for the system of Equation (9) will coincide with the trajectory of the deterministic system (see Figure 1). However, it is necessary to pay attention to Figure 2, where the behavior of one fixed trajectory of the solution of the proposed stochastic system is shown.…”

Section: The Stochastic Model Of Managing the Socio-economic Developmmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…To calculate the parameters of investment attractiveness of the Arctic region, it is also possible to use the mathematical modeling considered by the authors in [4] for poorly researched hydrocarbon objects. Moreover, studying the problem on the level of modern advanced approaches shows that, in the class of considered problems, the implementation of mathematical modeling should be based on computer technologies for the simple reason that the object, or the problem itself, is a unique subject for research, not only as systems of "big data" but also as multi-scale systems containing elements of uncertainties [5][6][7][8].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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A Mathematical Model of Regional Socio-Economic Development of the Russian Arctic Zone

et al. 2019

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This work touches upon the tasks of describing regional socio-economic development. The nature of the considered problem indicates the fact that the only relevant tool here is mathematical modeling. In this paper, the application of mathematical modeling is considered for the problem of managing regional development. The results of calculations based on the regional dynamic model that passes through the hierarchy of instabilities (the correspondence of the same stationary points of the model to different parameters) are presented. These instabilities lead to increasingly complex structures.

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“…Each of the mentioned examples has limited bandwidth. Moreover, the stability and efficiency of each of the presented transport corridors is influenced by external factors [8][9][10][11][12]. Consequently, it is possible to put forward a hypothesis regarding the presence of functional connection exports of agricultural products and the dynamics of development of the main transport corridors.…”

Section: Fig 2 Dynamics Of Growth Rates Of Us Agricultural Exportsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Development of international transport corridors to meet challenges of agriculture

Konnikova

Konnikov

Bozhuk

et al. 2019

Engineering for Rural Development

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Globalization processes, welfare global increase and transnational corporation development lead to an increase of the international trade turnover. At the same time, the capacity of existing international transport corridors is limited by natural causes, and the formation and development of new international transport corridors is a lingering and expensive investment process with an unpredictable level of profitability. In this regard, increasing load on the existing international transport corridors leads to efficiency decrease, and the loss of international transport corridor sustainability, which is more dangerous for international trade. These phenomena lead to the necessity of investment in research of sustainability insurance and direction development of these international transport corridors. Of particular importance is the sustainability of the international transport corridor for the agricultural products international trade, since this kind of products imposes a lot of restrictions on their transportation. The key research question is how the dynamics of the international transport corridor development influences on the dynamics of exports of agricultural goods. The purpose of this research is to explore the vectors of world agricultural markets development under the influence of the key international transport corridor transformation. The authors investigated external factors that influence the functioning of the Northern Sea Route, the Trans-Siberian Railway and the Suez Canal. The methodology of this study is based on the classical methodology of the regression analysis. The results of the research were aggregated into an econometric model, allowing to evaluate the impact of changes in the external factors on the development of the studied international transport corridors and, as a result, the development of agricultural product international markets.

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Information model-based forecasting of technological process state

Cited by 29 publications

References 13 publications

The Assessment of Innovation Development in the Arctic Regions of Russia Based on the Triple Helix Model

The Assessment of Innovation Development in the Arctic Regions of Russia Based on the Triple Helix Model

A Mathematical Model of Regional Socio-Economic Development of the Russian Arctic Zone

Development of international transport corridors to meet challenges of agriculture

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