Innovative methods in assessing political risk for business internationalization

Rios‐Morales, Ruth; Gamberger, Dragan; Šmuc, Tomislav; Azuaje, Francisco

doi:10.1016/j.ribaf.2008.03.011

Cited by 27 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 13 publications

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“…For the second task, we have used the subgroup discovery approach (Gamberger et al, 2004) that already has been successfully applied in a few scientific domains (Rios-Morales et al, 2009). The methodology practically exhaustively generates a large number of elementary logical tests based on the available data.…”

Section: Methodology and Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Impacto de Tratados Bilaterales de Inversión (TBI) de la Inversión Extranjera Directa Suizo (IED)

Rios‐Morales

Gamberger

Ursprung

et al. 2014

REMEF

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This study examines the impact of bilateral investment treaties (BITs) on Swiss foreign direct investment (FDI). It also investigates the role of BITs as protective tools of Swiss investment. This paper is based on secondary data analysis; data is obtained from various official entities. This study uses statistical and machine learning techniques in order to detect meaningful relationships between BITs and FDI flows. Our findings suggest that the implementation of BITs have an insignificant impact on the increase of Swiss FDI flows. However, from our examination, two interesting findings have emerged suggesting that the completion of BITs may have an impact on the increase of political stability and rule of law of partner countries. ResumenEste estudio examina el impacto de los tratados bilaterales de inversión (TBI) de la inversión extranjera directa suizo (IED). También indaga el papel de los TBI como herramientas de protección de inversiones. Esta investigación se basa en análisis de datos secundarios, los datos son obtenidos de diversas entidades oficiales. Este estudio utiliza técnicas de aprendizaje estadístico con el fin de detectar relaciones significativas entre los TBI y los flujos de IED. Nuestros resultados sugieren que la implementación de tratados bilaterales de inversión tiene un impacto insignificante en el aumento de IED suizos. Sin embargo, desde nuestro examen, dos hallazgos interesantes han surgido, proponiendo que los TBI pueden tener un impacto en el aumento de la estabilidad política y el estado de derecho de los países asociados. JEL Classification: F21, F23, F29

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Section: Methodology and Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Impacto de Tratados Bilaterales de Inversión (TBI) de la Inversión Extranjera Directa Suizo (IED)

Rios‐Morales

Gamberger

Ursprung

et al. 2014

REMEF

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“…Political instability negatively impacts on FDI inflow as it may interrupt business activities and alter investors' perceptions on location choice, and violence could harm the operations of the firm (Jakobsen 2010;Reiter and Steensma 2010). Though political risk is a threat to FDI inflows, opportunities such as higher returns on investment offered in politically unstable environments could support a firm's achievement of its internationalisation strategy (Jime'nez et al 2014;Rios-Morales et al 2009). During the period 1998-1999, Angola attracted the highest FDI inflows among SSA countries, even though it was considered politically unstable.…”

Section: Political Stabilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Foreign Direct Investment in Zimbabwe and Botswana: The Elephant in the Room

Gutu

Anastasiadou

Omar

et al. 2017

Palgrave Studies of Sustainable Business in Africa

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“…Political risk has been considered as one of the most important risks for corporations engaged in international business activities (Hood, 2001;Howell, 2001;Minor, 2003;Brink, 2004;Hood and Nawaz, 2004;Kettis, 2004;Nawaz and Hood, 2005;Oetzel, 2005;Stosberg, 2005;Tsai and Su, 2005;Wade, 2005;Alon and Herbert, 2009;Rios-Morales et al, 2009). …”

Section: Political Risk Assessment and Its Techniquesmentioning

confidence: 99%

The use of political risk assessment techniques in Jordanian multinational corporations

Khattab

Awwad

Anchor

et al. 2011

Journal of Risk Research

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This paper describes and explains the use of political risk assessment techniques in Jordanian multinational corporations (MNCs).A multi-method approach to collect data was followed. A self-report questionnaire was delivered by hand to the general managers of all Jordanian MNCs which were identified as operating internationally. Semi-structured interviews were used as a means of elaborating on the findings from the questionnaire.The study identified the extensive use of heuristic political risk assessment techniques (due to their flexibility, simplicity and low cost). Scientific techniques, on the other hand, were used by only a minority of MNCs. As has been the case in earlier studies, flexibility, simplicity and cost considerations were all found to be influential in this regard.However, the study also found that key decision makers in Jordanian MNCs believe that official data is subject to censorship and is therefore not reliable. This undermines the efficiency of using highly sophisticated scientific techniques. Since there are a number of other countries in the Middle East -and elsewhere -in which these considerations also apply, this finding has important implications for international businesses which operate in these countries, whatever their home country.

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Innovative methods in assessing political risk for business internationalization

Cited by 27 publications

References 13 publications

Impacto de Tratados Bilaterales de Inversión (TBI) de la Inversión Extranjera Directa Suizo (IED)

Impacto de Tratados Bilaterales de Inversión (TBI) de la Inversión Extranjera Directa Suizo (IED)

Foreign Direct Investment in Zimbabwe and Botswana: The Elephant in the Room

The use of political risk assessment techniques in Jordanian multinational corporations

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