Interval-Valued Kriging Models for Geostatistical Mapping with Imprecise Inputs

Abstract

Many geosciences data are imprecise due to various limitations and uncertainties in the measuring process. One way to preserve this imprecision in a geostatistical mapping framework is to characterize the measurements as intervals rather than single values. To effectively analyze the interval-valued data, this paper proposes and develops interval-valued kriging models based on the theory of random sets and a generalized L 2 metric. These models overcome the mathematical difficulties of a previous development and are computationally more feasible. Numerical implementation of our interval-valued kriging is provided using a penalty-based constrained optimization algorithm. An application to the prediction of design ground snow loads in Utah, USA, is presented that demonstrates the advantages of the proposed models in preserving crucial sources of uncertainty towards a more efficient risk-based designing scheme.