In this work we investigate the benefit of multicast in the delivery of video data over the mobile MBMS network. In order to quantify the benefit in a practical aspect, this work proposes an analytic framework that employs a combined statistical and queuing model, where a queuing model represents the behavior of user's access to the video service and the statistical model captures the popularity of the video contents, via which we draw out a more realistic intuition for the expected benefit from multicast. Finally, we present results of numerical experiment that illustrates the validity of the proposed work.