Is long-term climate change beneficial or harmful for rice total factor productivity in Japan: evidence from a panel data analysis

Kunimitsu, Yoji; Iizumi, Toshichika; Yokozawa, Masayuki

doi:10.1007/s10333-013-0368-0

Cited by 16 publications

(19 citation statements)

References 18 publications

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“…The signs and values of estimated coefficients were almost the same as the results of Kunimitsu et al (2014).…”

Section: Influences Of Climate and Socio-economic Factorssupporting

confidence: 71%

“…Using crop-yield and crop-quality models is the same as Kunimitsu et al (2014). In addition to these models, this study uses the flood index, CFI, calculated by the unit out-flow within the paddy mesh area.…”

Section: Climate Indexesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In this sense, influences of climate change on rice productivity are not ignorable in view of future land use and sustainability of ecosystems for both producers and consumers. Kunimitsu et al (2014) measured the influences of climate and socio-economic factors on rice total factor productivity (TFP) in nine regions of Japan. Their analysis showed that the potential impacts of the yield index were as high as socio-economic factors such as economies of scale and research and development activities.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Technological spillover in Japanese rice productivity under long-term climate change: evidence from the spatial econometric model

Kunimitsu

Kudo

Iizumi

et al. 2015

Paddy Water Environ

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Rice productivity will be affected by climate conditions not only in own region but also in neighboring regions through technological spillover. Measuring such direct and indirect influence of future climate change is important for policy making. This study analyzes socioeconomic and climate factors in rice total factor productivity (TFP) and evaluates technological spillover effects by using the spatial econometric model. To consider geographical situation, we use hydrological model in addition to crop-yield and crop-quality models. Results show that spatial autoregressive tendencies were observed in rice TFP, even though the influences of climate factors were removed. Such spatial dependence brings about synergistic effects among neighboring prefectures in northern Japan and depression effects, like a spatial trap, from neighbors in southern Japan. Substantial impacts of climate change were as high as socio-economic factors but different in degrees by regions. Also, future climate change estimated by the global climate model enlarged fluctuation degree in rice TFP because accumulative or cancel out effects of temperature and precipitation occurred year by year. Therefore, technological development in rice production and provision of precise climate prediction to farmers are important in order to ease and mitigate these influences.Keywords Crop model Á Hydrological model Á Rice total factor productivity (TFP) Á Spatial lag model Á Research and development activities JEL code C21 Á Q54 Á R11 Á R15

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“…The signs and values of estimated coefficients were almost the same as the results of Kunimitsu et al (2014).…”

Section: Influences Of Climate and Socio-economic Factorssupporting

confidence: 71%

Section: Climate Indexesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Technological spillover in Japanese rice productivity under long-term climate change: evidence from the spatial econometric model

Kunimitsu

Kudo

Iizumi

et al. 2015

Paddy Water Environ

Self Cite

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“…Kunimitsu et al [70] examine the likely changes in rice productivity, due to climate change, across Japan. The authors determine that after the 2050s, climate change will increase rice yields in northern areas, such as Hokkaido and Tohoku, due largely to beneficial warming during the rice production season.…”

Section: Direct Effectsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…By contrast, climate change will reduce rice yield and grain quality in other regions after the 2050s, while also increasing the variation in rice productivity. The authors suggest that much of the negative impact of climate change can be offset by transplanting rice earlier in the year, except in the southern region of Kyushu, provided that sufficient irrigation water will be available during April, as needed, to support an earlier transplanting schedule [70].…”

Section: Direct Effectsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Managing Water and Soils to Achieve Adaptation and Reduce Methane Emissions and Arsenic Contamination in Asian Rice Production

Wichelns

2016

Water

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Rice production is susceptible to damage from the changes in temperature and rainfall patterns, and in the frequency of major storm events that will accompany climate change. Deltaic areas, in which millions of farmers cultivate from one to three crops of rice per year, are susceptible also to the impacts of a rising sea level, submergence during major storm events, and saline intrusion into groundwater and surface water resources. In this paper, I review the current state of knowledge regarding the potential impacts of climate change on rice production and I describe adaptation measures that involve soil and water management. In many areas, farmers will need to modify crop choices, crop calendars, and soil and water management practices as they adapt to climate change. Adaptation measures at the local, regional, and international levels also will be helpful in moderating the potential impacts of climate change on aggregate rice production and on household food security in many countries. Some of the changes in soil and water management and other production practices that will be implemented in response to climate change also will reduce methane generation and release from rice fields. Some of the measures also will reduce the uptake of arsenic in rice plants, thus addressing an important public health issue in portions of South and Southeast Asia. Where feasible, replacing continuously flooded rice production with some form of aerobic rice production, will contribute to achieving adaptation objectives, while also reducing global warming potential and minimizing the risk of negative health impacts due to consumption of arsenic contaminated rice.

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A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Regional Economies Through Japan’s Fruit Tree Production Changes: Evidence from Panel Data and Spatial CGE Models

Tokunaga

Okiyama

Ikegawa

2022

New Frontiers in Regional Science: Asian Perspectives

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Is long-term climate change beneficial or harmful for rice total factor productivity in Japan: evidence from a panel data analysis

Cited by 16 publications

References 18 publications

Technological spillover in Japanese rice productivity under long-term climate change: evidence from the spatial econometric model

Technological spillover in Japanese rice productivity under long-term climate change: evidence from the spatial econometric model

Managing Water and Soils to Achieve Adaptation and Reduce Methane Emissions and Arsenic Contamination in Asian Rice Production

A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Regional Economies Through Japan’s Fruit Tree Production Changes: Evidence from Panel Data and Spatial CGE Models

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