Landscape Dynamics, Succession, and Forecasts of Cunninghamia lanceolata in the Central Producing Regions of China

Abstract

Cunninghamia lanceolata (Lamb.) Hook accounts for 12% of the total forest area in southern China, second only to Masson pine forests, and is an important part of the forest landscape in this region, which has a significant impact on the overall forest structure in southern China. In this study, we used kernel density analysis, landscape index calculation, variance test, and Markov prediction to analyze and forecast the evolution trend of landscape pattern in the central area of C. lanceolata in ten years. The objective is to investigate the change trend of the spatial pattern of C. lanceolata landscape in the long time series and its possible impact on zonal vegetation, as well as the macro-succession trend of C. lanceolata under the current social and economic background, and to make a scientific and reasonable prediction of its future succession trend. The current and future forecast results show that the landscape fragmentation degree of C. lanceolata is intensified, the erosion of bamboo forest is continuously intensified, and the landscape quality is continuously low. These results provide a reference for the future development direction of C. lanceolata and emphasize the need for targeted C. lanceolata management strategies in the future development of C. lanceolata, emphasizing the strengthening of monitoring, controlling harvesting, and managing bamboo competition in order to balance wood production with landscape quality and ecosystem stability.