Lessons (to be) learned? Germany’s Zeitenwende and European security after the Russian invasion of Ukraine

Bunde, Tobias

doi:10.1080/13523260.2022.2092820

Cited by 28 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 21 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…While the "Zeitenwende" decision was a response to an external shock, its implementation followed traditional paths of domestic politics. For example, contested parliamentary debates on the types of military aid to Ukraine revealed persisting partisan differences and bureaucratic hurdles protracted the procurement of new weapons in contrast to the announcement (see Bunde, 2022;Karnitschnig, 2023;Mello, 2024). Unsurprisingly, despite the announcement of a defense budget surge, military expenditures measured in percentage of GDP remained almost unchanged for Germany in 2023 as well as for most NATO member states, with Poland being a notable exception ("Canada's miserly defence spending," 2023).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Grasping Foreign and Security Policy Change: Patterns and Conditions of Change Among Liberal Democracies

Böller,

Wenzelburger

2024

PaG

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has been perceived as a fundamental shift at the international level, triggering reorientation in foreign and security policy, in particular among liberal democracies. At the same time, beyond such external shocks, states may incrementally adapt their positioning towards international affairs. To shed light on these dynamics, this article aims to quantitatively explore longer-term patterns of foreign and security policy in liberal democracies. In doing so, we make two contributions to the literature: First, we propose a quantitative operationalization of foreign and security policy change, combining military and non-military aspects, to explore the patterns of continuity and change over time (1988–2021), considering 20 liberal democracies. Second, we leverage insights from public policy analysis, in particular the punctuated equilibrium theory, to make sense of the identified patterns. Accordingly, we find support for the proposition that foreign and security policies typically change incrementally and that major change is rare. Moreover, while incremental shifts can be explained by domestic politics and institutional settings, major changes disrupt this pattern. In conclusion, the article discusses the plausibility of the quantitative analysis given the current policy shifts among democracies following Russia’s war in Ukraine.

show abstract

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Grasping Foreign and Security Policy Change: Patterns and Conditions of Change Among Liberal Democracies

Böller,

Wenzelburger

2024

PaG

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…In the given constellation, however, the organization with a high potential to gain support across the entire European continent is the OSCE. Said concept does need time, but it is still more acceptable than hearing German Chancellor Olaf Scholz (Bunde, 2022) speak to members of the German Bundestag gathered for a special session on the morning of Sunday, February 27, 2022, three days after the start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. "We are living through a watershed period," Scholz said, "And that means that the world then will not be the same as the world before."…”

Section: Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issuesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Arms control and its impact on sustainable European security

Cséfalvay,

Kazanský,

Rýsová

2024

JESI

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The international legal framework for arms control fundamentally impacts global security. However, this vital institution is currently dysfunctional, which, in conjunction with the war in Ukraine and the crisis in US-Russia and NATO-Russia relations, is reviving the threat of the European continent becoming a zone of uncontrolled deployment of Russian and US weapons and weapons systems. The collapse of the arms control mechanism has a high potential to spark an uncontrolled arms race across Europe, with potential global spillover. Arms control is a unique idea promoting sustainable international security. It is based on the premise that numerous reductions in weapons and weapons systems by world actors will reduce the likelihood of the outbreak of armed conflict. Arms control is a complex process implemented through international treaties and agreements. They aim to reduce the force potential of a state actor to a level that is only necessary to ensure internal security. This article aims to analyze the impact of the arms control system on sustainable European security and its role within the international order. The basic premise of the arms control process is the principle of equal security, which is based on the sovereign equality of states expressed in the UN Charter. Arms control is always based on the parties' objectives and is therefore not considered an end in itself but is consistently used as part of a process aimed at sustainable international security and building sustainable peace.

show abstract

“…Der Überfall auf die Ukraine ist auch eine schockartige Erfahrung für die deutsche Außenpolitik. Viel spricht für die Deutung, dass die Bundesrepublik nach dem Ende des Kalten Krieges aus einer Reihe von Gründen nicht willens, fähig oder veranlasst war, einige wichtige außenpolitische Lernprozesse und Anpassungen zu vollführen (Bunde 2022;vgl. bereits auch Seibel 2015).…”

Section: Perspektiven Und Orientierungenunclassified

„Wenn möglich bitte wenden“? Die deutsche Außenpolitik und die Navigation der Zeitenwende

Fröhlich

2023

Z Politikwiss

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

ZusammenfassungDie russische Aggression in der Ukraine hat Grundkoordinaten der deutschen Außenpolitik in Frage gestellt. Der Beitrag rekonstruiert zunächst die mit dem Begriff der Zeitenwende angekündigte Reaktion der Bundesregierung. Weitere Orientierungspunkte zur Navigation in neuartigem Terrain lassen sich aus der Diskussion unterschiedlicher Theorien der Internationalen Beziehungen und Topoi der deutschen Außenpolitik gewinnen. Die skizzenhafte Kontextualisierung von etablierten Bezugspunkten und die Vermeidung scheinbarer Dichotomien führt zu einem differenzierten Bild, das sowohl Elemente der Kontinuität als auch der notwendigen Kursänderung enthält.

show abstract

Lessons (to be) learned? Germany’s Zeitenwende and European security after the Russian invasion of Ukraine

Cited by 28 publications

References 21 publications

Grasping Foreign and Security Policy Change: Patterns and Conditions of Change Among Liberal Democracies

Grasping Foreign and Security Policy Change: Patterns and Conditions of Change Among Liberal Democracies

Arms control and its impact on sustainable European security

„Wenn möglich bitte wenden“? Die deutsche Außenpolitik und die Navigation der Zeitenwende

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About