Mind the Electoral Gap: the Effect of Investment in Public Infrastructure on Authoritarian Support in South Korea

Cho, Joan E.; Lee, Jae Seung; Song, B.K.

doi:10.1007/s12116-019-09289-y

Cited by 8 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 42 publications

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“…For example, Hong and Park [46] found that regions receiving economic benefits from industrial complexes get more votes for incumbent parties in the next election. Cho et al [47] found that the construction of new metro stations had a positive effect on the vote share of incumbent candidates in areas within walking distance from such stations. In European cities, the outcome of local elections also secured political support for urban planning projects [48].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Influence of Urban Planning-Related Pledge Budget on Local Election Votes: A City Case in Korea

Kim

Jung

2020

Land

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Most election pledges require a significant budget for their implementation. In the case of a candidate for the head of a local government who presented his pledges related to urban planning by subdividing them into voting districts, we tested how the size of the budget committed to the voters affected the votes. Based on the urban planning-related pledged budget, the economic utility value of one vote was estimated to be about 2050 USD. In elections for local government heads, as the pledged budget related to urban planning increased, the vote percentage and the degree of competition for votes increased positively. Moreover, when the pledged budget related to urban planning exceeded a certain level, the slope of the vote percentage curve tended to be gentle. The slope of the curve is steep in the section up to the pledged budget of 50 million USD, and the slope becomes gentle in the next section. This study was based on a specific case that was limited in terms of space and time, and it was limited to analyzing only the election pledge and election result data without considering the socioeconomic background factors of the voters.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Influence of Urban Planning-Related Pledge Budget on Local Election Votes: A City Case in Korea

Kim

Jung

2020

Land

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“…Similar to the findings of Hong and Park (2016) on the industrial complexes, we also find that the ruling party vote share is positive for both authoritarian tenures under Park Chung Hee and Chun Doo Hwan, but the size of the effect is larger for Park's ruling party. See Cho, Lee, and Song (2019).…”

Section: The 1987 Great Workers' Strugglementioning

confidence: 99%

Seeds of Mobilization

Cho¹

2024

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South Korea is sometimes held as a dream case of modernization theory, a testament to how economic development leads to democracy. Seeds of Mobilization takes a closer look at the history of South Korea to show that Korea’s advance to democracy was not linear. Instead, while Korea’s national economy grew dramatically under the regimes of Park Chung Hee (1961–79) and Chun Doo Hwan (1980–88), the political system first became increasingly authoritarian. Because modernization was founded on industrial complexes and tertiary education, these structures initially helped bolster the authoritarian regimes. In the long run, however, these structures later facilitated the anti-regime protests by various social movement groups—most importantly, workers and students—that ultimately brought democracy to the country. By using original subnational protest event datasets, government publications, oral interviews, and publications from labor and student movement organizations, Joan E. Cho takes a long view of democratization that incorporates the decades before and after South Korea’s democratic transition. She demonstrates that Korea’s democratization resulted from a combination of factors from below and from above, and that authoritarian development itself was a hidden root cause of democratic development in South Korea. Seeds of Mobilization shows how socioeconomic development did not create a steady pressure toward democracy but acted as a “double-edged sword” that initially stabilized autocratic regimes before destabilizing them over time.

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“…We propose that autocratic governments respond to citizen demands to improve public support. Directly addressing and solving the issue (henceforth: "tangible responsiveness") raises support by delivering on citizens' expectations of the government (Gorgulu, Sharafutdinova and Steinbuks 2020) and producing material improvements in citizens' livelihoods (Cho, Lee and Song 2019;Guriev and Treisman 2020). Moreover, even non-tangible responsiveness can improve citizen support.…”

Section: Responsiveness and Authoritarian Survivalmentioning

confidence: 99%

Do Autocrats Respond to Citizen Demands? Petitions and Housing Construction in the GDR

Hilbig¹,

Lueders²,

Riaz³

2021

Preprint

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Do autocrats strategically respond to citizen demands to ensure regime survival? To answer this question, we assemble a novel panel of housing-related petitions to the government of the German Democratic Republic (GDR) in combination with data on housing construction between 1945 -1989. Exploiting the timing of the largest GDR housing program, we employ a difference-in-differences design to show that the housing program was targeted at regions with higher rates of petitioning. We then demonstrate that strategic concerns about regime survival drove responsiveness. We show that the regime was more responsive to petitions from counties with export industries and counties with high collective action potential. Finally, we show that responsiveness lastingly impacts regime support. In the first democratic elections after the demise of the GDR, the authoritarian successor party received more votes in regions targeted by the housing program.

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Mind the Electoral Gap: the Effect of Investment in Public Infrastructure on Authoritarian Support in South Korea

Cited by 8 publications

References 42 publications

The Influence of Urban Planning-Related Pledge Budget on Local Election Votes: A City Case in Korea

The Influence of Urban Planning-Related Pledge Budget on Local Election Votes: A City Case in Korea

Seeds of Mobilization

Do Autocrats Respond to Citizen Demands? Petitions and Housing Construction in the GDR

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