Model of information deterrence between states based on the theory of reflexive games

Abstract

The article considers the approach to modeling the processes of information counteraction and information deterrence at the state level. The shortcomings of the game-theoretic approach to the development of formalized models of information counteraction are identified. The concept of formalization of interstate information deterrence on the basis of the theory of reflexive management of V. Lefevre is offered. Unlike classical game theory, this approach takes into account the possible irrationality of human (state) behavior in combination with moral-motivational and pragmatic aspects of choice. The adequacy of the proposed model is confirmed by the analysis of examples of information confrontation between Ukraine and Russia in the post-Soviet period.