Modelling concentrated solar power (CSP) in the Brazilian energy system: A soft-linked model coupling approach

Soria, Rafael; Lucena, André F.P.; Tomaschek, Jan; Fichter, Tobias; Haasz, Thomas; Szklo, Alexandre; Schaeffer, Roberto; Rochedo, Pedro; Fahl, Ulrich; Kern, Jürgen

doi:10.1016/j.energy.2016.09.080

Cited by 49 publications

(17 citation statements)

References 56 publications

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“…The results show a large increase in intermittent renewables in the power sector. This may affect the stability of the grid in Brazil . The operation of the power sector was not the focus of this study and the assessment of the reliability of the power grid requires a different method because the production patterns of solar and wind energy and the demand for electricity are aggregated to periods of approximately 5 h, while hourly patterns are required to assess the reliability of power systems…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Pathways for a Brazilian biobased economy: towards optimal utilization of biomass

Lap

Benders

Köberle

et al. 2019

Biofuels Bioprod Bioref

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Biomass is responsible for 25% of the primary energy supply in Brazil. However, future biomass demand will be influenced by many factors. This study evaluates potential pathways for the utilization of biomass in Brazil until 2050, while considering novel biobased sectors (renewable jet fuel and biochemicals), resource competition, and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Whereas other least‐cost optimization models assess biobased options to meet energy and chemicals demand in Brazil to a limited extent, this study provides a detailed breakdown of biomass feedstock, including an extensive portfolio of biomass conversion technologies. A least‐cost optimization model is used to assess the demand for energy and chemicals, and the competition between biomass and other climate‐mitigation measures such as renewable power generation technologies, carbon capture and storage (CCS), and energy efficiency. Varied over the three scenarios, 86–96% of the sustainable biomass supply potential is used. Under more stringent mitigation targets, novel biomass conversion technologies start to play an important role: Biobased electricity production with CCS, jet fuel production from lignocellulosic biomass, and chemicals are partly produced from ethanol and bio‐naphtha. The modeling framework provides a transparent view of which type of biomass can be used for which specific purpose. It is therefore an interesting tool for future research, for example to examine the dynamic interaction with demand for land. © 2019 The Authors. Biofuels, Bioproducts and Biorefining published by Society of Chemical Industry and John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Pathways for a Brazilian biobased economy: towards optimal utilization of biomass

Lap

Benders

Köberle

et al. 2019

Biofuels Bioprod Bioref

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“…We find that 10% to 16% of existing fossil-fueled power plants in the region would need to be stranded to meet average carbon budgets from IPCC. Based on average investment costs reported by Soria et al (2016) and Carvajal et al (2019), the total investment cost of these portions would correspond roughly to $27 billion to $44 billion.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Committed Emissions and the Risk of Stranded Assets from Power Plants in Latin America and the Caribbean

Lecuyer¹,

González-Mahecha²,

Hallack³

et al. 2019

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'AFD ont pour but de diffuser rapidement les résultats de travaux en cours. Ils s'adressent principalement aux chercheurs, aux étudiants et au monde académique. Ils couvrent l'ensemble des sujets de travail de l'AFD : analyse économique, théorie économique, analyse des politiques publiques, sciences de l'ingénieur, sociologie, géographie et anthropologie. Une publication dans les Papiers de Recherche de l'AFD n'en exclut aucune autre. Le groupe Agence française de développement (AFD) est un établissement public qui finance, accompagne et accélère les transitions vers un monde plus juste et durable. Plateforme française d'aide publique au développement et d'investissement de développement durable, nous construisons avec nos partenaires des solutions partagées, avec et pour les populations du Sud. Nos équipes sont engagées dans plus de 4 000 projets sur le terrain, dans les Outre-mer et dans 115 pays, pour les biens communs de l'humanité-le climat, la biodiversité, la paix, l'égalité femmeshommes, l'éducation ou encore la santé. Nous contribuons ainsi à l'engagement de la France et des Français en faveur des Objectifs de développement durable. Pour un monde en commun. Les opinions exprimées dans ce papier sont celles de son (ses) auteur(s) et ne reflètent pas nécessairement celles de l'AFD. Ce document est publié sous l'entière responsabilité de son (ses) auteur(s). Les Papiers de Recherche sont téléchargeables sur : https://www.afd.fr/fr/ressources AFD Research Papers AFD Research Papers are intended to rapidly disseminate findings of ongoing work and mainly target researchers, students and the wider academic community. They cover the full range of AFD work, including: economic analysis, economic theory, policy analysis, engineering sciences, sociology, geography and anthropology. AFD Research Papers and other publications are not mutually exclusive. The Agence Française de Développement (AFD) Group is a public entity which finances, supports and expedites transitions toward a more just and sustainable world. As a French overseas aid platform for sustainable development and investment, we and our partners create shared solutions, with and for the people of the global South. Active in more than 4,000 projects in the French overseas departments and some 115 countries, our teams strive to promote health, education and gender equality, and are working to protect our common resources-peace, education, health, biodiversity and a stable climate. It's our way of honoring the commitment France and the French people have made to fulfill the Sustainable Development Goals. Towards a world in common. The opinions expressed in this paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the position of AFD. It is therefore published under the sole responsibility of its author(s).

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“…Although Brazil has one of the largest solar power generation potentials, currently photovoltaic (PV) panels only represent 1.3% of the total power system with an installed capacity of 2.1 GW, mostly located in the North-East region [6]. Soria et al [11] argue that concentrated solar power (CSP) systems have the ability to provide flexibility to the region power system, supplying firm energy and dispatchable capacity, supporting a subsystem with high shares of intermittent wind energy. Carstens and Cunha [12] investigated the socio-technical potential of large scale PV installations in the country, finding that the most pressured needs are robust fiscal and financial incentives combined with clear long-term planning goals.…”

Section: The Role Of Natural Gas In Brazil's Energy MIXmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modelling cost-effective pathways for natural gas infrastructure: A southern Brazil case study

et al. 2019

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Currently, natural gas in Brazil represents around 12.9% of the primary energy supply, with consistent annual growth during the last decade. However, Brazil is entering a time of uncertainty regarding future gas supply, mainly as import from Bolivia is being renegotiated. As such, diversification of gas supply sources and routes need to be considered. Energy systems and infrastructure models are essential tools in assisting energy planning decisions and policy programmes at regional and international levels. In this study, a novel combination of a simulationbased integrated assessment model (MUSE-South_Brazil) and the recently-developed Gas INfrastructure Optimisation model (GINO) is presented. The Brazilian region represented by the five southern states served by the Bolivian gas pipeline (GASBOL) has been investigated. Modelled projections suggest that regional gas demand would increase from 38.8 mcm/day in 2015 to 104.3 mcm/day by 2050, mainly driven by the increasing demand in the industry and power sectors. Therefore existing regional gas infrastructure would be insufficient to cover future demands. Three different renegotiation scenarios between Brazil and Bolivia were modelled, obtaining distinct costoptimal infrastructure expansion pathways. Depending on the scenario, the model expects gas demand to be covered by other supply options, such as an increase in pre-salt production, LNG imports and imports from a new Argentinian pipeline.

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Modelling concentrated solar power (CSP) in the Brazilian energy system: A soft-linked model coupling approach

Cited by 49 publications

References 56 publications

Pathways for a Brazilian biobased economy: towards optimal utilization of biomass

Pathways for a Brazilian biobased economy: towards optimal utilization of biomass

Committed Emissions and the Risk of Stranded Assets from Power Plants in Latin America and the Caribbean

Modelling cost-effective pathways for natural gas infrastructure: A southern Brazil case study

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