Morphotectonic evidence from the southern branch of the North Anatolian Fault (NAF) and basins of the south Marmara sub-region, NW Turkey

M ≥ 7 earthquake rupture forecast and time‐dependent probability for the sea of Marmara region, Turkey

“…The NNAF is the most active with right-lateral slip rates of 14-24 mm/yr. Selim et al, 2013]. Thus, the various NAF strands reveal slip partitioning, combining primary right-lateral and secondary vertical motions [Flerit et al, 2003[Flerit et al, , 2004Woodcock and Fischer, 1986;Pantosti et al, 2008;Pucci et al, 2008].…”

“…The CNAF branch shows about 5 mm/yr of right‐lateral deformation distributed along several fault strands. The oblique right‐lateral SNAF strand accommodates 2–6 mm/yr of dextral slip and up to 8 mm/yr of dip slip [ Meade et al , ; Selim et al , ]. Thus, the various NAF strands reveal slip partitioning, combining primary right‐lateral and secondary vertical motions [ Flerit et al , , ; Woodcock and Fischer , ; Pantosti et al , ; Pucci et al , ].…”

“…The submarine morphology [ Armijo et al , ; Laigle et al , ] shows evident fault scarps beneath the Sea of Marmara that correspond to the 1912 and probably August 1766 earthquakes, as well as a new active fault showing a large submarine fault break south of the Çınarcık basin (South Çınarcık fault). The remaining surface fault traces and kinematics of the model (the CNAF and SNAF strands) are compiled from geologic mapping [ Barka and Kadinsky‐Cade , ; Saroglu et al , ; Barka , ; Barka and Kuscu , ; Kurtuluş and Canbay , ; Kürçer et al , ; Kuşçu et al , ; Selim and Tüysüz , ; Selim et al , ; Vardar et al , ].…”

“…Kinematics (SS = strike slip; N = normal); computed magnitude, strike and dip‐slip rate; length (L); depth (H); width (W); focal mechanism; last and penultimate events ages with their maximum expected magnitude ( M s ), computed by instrumental or historical data, otherwise by fault geometry [ Wells and Coppersmith , ]. Reference numbers refer to (1) Flerit et al [], (2) Ergintav et al [], (3) Meade et al [], (4) Barka [], (5) Dolu et al [], (6) Rockwell et al [], (7) Tibi et al [], (8) Klinger et al [], (9) Parson [], (10) Hergert and Heidbach [], (11) Armijo et al [], (12) Le Pichon et al [, ], (13) Carton et al [], (14) Laigle et al [], (15) Bulut et al [], (16) Ambraseys [], (17) Armijo et al [, ]; (18) Taymaz et al [] and McKenzie []; (19) Reilinger et al [], (20) Guidoboni and Comastri [], (21) Meghraoui et al [] and Aksoy et al [], (22) Motagh et al [], (23) Altunel et al []; (24) Rockwell et al [], (25) Gasperini et al [], (26) Yaltirak [] and McNeill et al [], (27) Ambraseys and Jackson [], (28) Barka [], (29) Ambraseys and Zatopek [], (30) Canitez [], (31) Palyvos et al [], (32) Straub et al [], (33) Ambraseys [], (34) Pucci et al [], (35) Pucci et al [], (36) Pantosti et al [], (37) Kondo et al [], (38) Barka and Kadinsky‐Cade [], (39) Ketin [], (40) Doğan et al [], (41) Guidoboni et al [], (42) Saroglu et al [], (43) Barka and Kuscu [], (44) Kuşçu et al [], (45) Selim and Tüysüz [] and Selim et al [], (46) Kürçer et al [], and (47) Kurtuluş and Canbay […”

Plio-Quaternary kinematic development and paleostress pattern of the Edremit Basin, western Turkey

“…This continental scale structure is observable as a complex fault system due to branching into different strands, particularly in the Marmara region of Turkey, and represents various geometric, geomorphic and kinematic features (e.g. Gürer et al, 2003Gürer et al, , 2006Gürbüz and Gürer, 2009;Kürçer et al, 2008;Demoulin et al, 2013;Selim et al, 2013). As a result of these features, the strike-slip deformation of the NAFS is laterally discontinuous in and around the Biga Peninsula and subdivided into different major enéchelon faults that partially overstepped to form pull-apart and pushup structures.…”