Multiple Environmental Exposures and the Development of Hypertension in a Prospective US-Based Cohort of Female Nurses: A Mixture Analysis

Abstract

We investigated the independent and joint associations between multiple environmental exposures and incident hypertension in a US nationwide prospective cohort of women: the Nurses' Health Study II. We followed 107,532 nonhypertensive participants from 1989 to diagnosis of hypertension, loss to follow-up, death, or end of follow-up in June 2019. We applied Cox proportional hazards models to assess associations of incident hypertension with time-varying residential exposure to air pollution, noise, surrounding greenness, temperature, and neighborhood socioeconomic status (nSES), adjusting for potential confounders and coexposures. We evaluated the joint association of simultaneous exposure using quantile g-computation. We observed 38,175 hypertension cases over 2,062,109 person-years. Increased hypertension incidence was consistently associated with lower nSES and higher levels of fine particles (PM 2.5 ) and nighttime noise exposures: hazard ratio (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of 1.06 (1.04, 1.08), 1.04 (1.01, 1.07), and 1.01 (1.00, 1.03), respectively, per interquartile range change.Joint HR for a one-quartile change in simultaneous exposure to the mixture was 1.05 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.09), assuming additivity, or 1.13 (95% CI: 1.06, 1.20), considering potential interactions within the mixture. Hypertension prevention should focus on enhancing nSES and reducing PM 2.5 and noise levels, recognizing that reducing the overall exposures may yield additional benefits.