New Approach to Modeling Large-Scale Transitions to Alternative Fuels and Vehicles

Abstract

A large-scale transition to alternative fuels and vehicles is challenging. New modeling approaches are necessary to supplement existing models, such as MARKAL. One promising approach is simulation gaming. Simulation gaming has been used extensively in many fields, most conspicuously in military applications, to provide insights into the dynamics of uncertain processes. A large-scale game to simulate transitions to alternative fuels and vehicles was developed to explore the potential of this approach. Preliminary results of the game play suggest a possible counterintuitive dynamic: high energy prices can discourage the wide-scale adoption of alternative fuel vehicles because increased fuel costs reduce consumers' ability to pay for more costly alternative vehicle technologies.

Predicting Purchase Intention towards Battery Electric Vehicles: A Case of Indonesian Market

“…There is a drastic increase of 2.3 times from the original weight of Emotion. This is in line with previous works that showed that vehicles become a tool that can bring emotional benefits to users [5][6][7][8]. The emotional benefit can be something personal to the drivers such as pleasure, pride and negative embarrassment [45].…”

“…In Indonesia, four-wheeled vehicles are still a product of people's dreams. Previous studies show that cars not only function as a means of transportation to facilitate one's mobility, but have become a tool to fulfill emotional needs such as self-expression [5][6][7][8][9].…”