2021
DOI: 10.1177/00223433211018501
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No paradox here? Improving theory and testing of the nuclear stability–instability paradox with synthetic counterfactuals

Abstract: This article contributes to both the theoretical elaboration and empirical testing of the ‘stability–instability paradox’, the proposition that while nuclear weapons deter nuclear war, they also increase conventional conflict among nuclear-armed states. Some recent research has found support for the paradox, but quantitative studies tend to pool all international dyads while qualitative and theoretical studies focus almost exclusively on the USA–USSR and India–Pakistan dyads. This article argues that existing … Show more

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Cited by 2 publications
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