Nutrient risk assessment in a decision theoretic context

Abstract

Background. This study describes a decision-theoretic approach to nutrient assessment based on Bayesian methods, which can be used to give accurate estimates of optimum intakes. Analysis of risk is an incomplete technique for dealing with nutrients and other substances that, by definition, have an associated benefit.Results. This paper shows that the risk analysis methods being developed by the Codex Commission on Nutrition and European Food Safety Authority, among others, are inappropriate for assessing safe nutrient intake levels. Decision theoretic methods incorporate benefits associated with these essential nutrients, as well as potential risk. Conclusion. These methods allow for missing or incomplete data, which conventional risk analysis does not.