Offline Single-Polarization Radar Quantitative Precipitation Estimation Based on a Spatiotemporal Deep Fusion Model

Abstract

Quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) based on Doppler radar plays an important role in severe weather monitoring, industrial and agricultural production, and natural disaster prediction and prevention. However, the temporal and spatial variability of precipitation leads to large errors in radar estimates of mixed precipitation. To improve the accuracy of radar QPE, we propose an offline spatiotemporal deep fusion model that uses the reflectivity data of the Shijiazhuang Doppler radar Z9311 and the precipitation data from 17 national weather stations (NWSs) and 260 automatic weather stations (AWSs). Considering the abrupt spatial changes in precipitation, a three-dimensional radar data structure is proposed, and the spatial features of multielevation and multiscale radar data are extracted and merged using the feature fusion network (FFNet). Finally, the time dependence of the precipitation is captured using the long short-term memory (LSTM) network, and the precipitation estimation is obtained. Based on a comparison of the results of the proposed model (FFNet-LSTM) with those of the ordinary kriging (OK) interpolation, two Z-R relationship, the multilayer perceptron (MLP), the LSTM, and the FFNet, the proposed method is superior to these models, has a promising performance, and is a general-purpose rainfall algorithm.