Plant migration due to winter climate change: range expansion of tropical invasive plants in response to warming winters

Osland, Michael J.; Chivoiu, Bogdan; Feher, Laura C.; Dale, Leah L.; Lieurance, Deah; Daniel, Wesley M.; Spencer, Jessica E.

doi:10.1007/s10530-023-03075-7

Cited by 8 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 68 publications

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“…Future climate change might weaken the filtering effect of freezing (i.e., decreased mortality due to the freezing of body fluids) [64]. Additionally, winter temperature has been observed to be one of the key factors affecting the life history of our target species [37,[65][66][67][68]. For example, the phenotype of this pest insect can be altered by exposure to low temperatures in winter [69].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Invasive Pest and Invasive Host: Where Might Spotted-Wing Drosophila (Drosophila suzukii) and American Black Cherry (Prunus serotina) Cross Paths in Europe?

Zhou,

Wu,

Nie

et al. 2024

Forests

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Both spotted-wing drosophila (SWD, Drosophila suzukii) and American black cherry (ABC, Prunus serotina) are invasive species with major deleterious effects on forest ecosystems in Europe. ABC, a host of SWD, can sustain large populations of SWD, and SWD in turn can constrain the regeneration of its host. Here, we examined the range shifts of SWD, ABC, and their range overlap under future scenarios using range shift models. In the current–future scenarios, both SWD and ABC were predicted to undergo potential range expansions in Europe, suggesting that their invasion risks might increase in the future. Climate change might be the major driver of range shifts of both the pest and host, followed by land-use and host availability changes; therefore, mitigating future climate change might be key for controlling their future invasions in Europe. The relative contribution of climate and host availability to shaping the potential ranges of invasive species might not only vary with their feeding habitats (polyphagy/oligophagy) but also with the relative abundance of hosts among available host reservoirs. Range overlap under current and future scenarios was mainly observed in the UK, Germany, France, Switzerland, Italy, and Eastern Europe; this area is of high and low priority for the control of SWD and ABC, respectively.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Invasive Pest and Invasive Host: Where Might Spotted-Wing Drosophila (Drosophila suzukii) and American Black Cherry (Prunus serotina) Cross Paths in Europe?

Zhou,

Wu,

Nie

et al. 2024

Forests

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Given warming climatic temperatures and projected increases in extreme weather events (Jay et al 2018; National Academy of Sciences 2020) that can disrupt native vegetation and facilitate invasion (Bradley et al, 2010a;2010b), risk assessments should incorporate climate projections and stochastic events into their processes. In many cases in the US, plant species are already moving northward as temperatures shift, and invasive species will be no different (Hellman et al 2008;Pyke et al 2008;Wang et al 2022;Osland et al 2023). As such, quantitative risk assessments will likely increase in use as they are nimbler and more reactive to recent changes and can be modified to incorporate landscape-and local-level climatic data to predict potential range shifts of non-native species.…”

Section: Barriers To the Development And Implementation Of Risk Asses...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Preventing the Next Plant Invasion: Opportunities and Challenges

Brand,

Canavan,

Daehler

et al. 2024

CAST

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This paper focuses on invasive plant species management, including risk assessment methodologies, applications, benefits, and costs. Prevention is the most effective and economical strategy for managing invasive species. However, predicting which species will become invasive is challenging, and existing tools have limitations. The paper provides valuable insights and recommendations for policymakers, industry professionals, researchers, and stakeholders involved in invasive species management.

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“…In the tropics, climate-induced range shifts will likely result in biotic attrition and range gaps in the lowlands, as no source pool exists for the warmer conditions emerging there (Colwell et al, 2008). Warming conditions additionally result in range changes across the tropics, with small changes in temperature extremes resulting in shifts towards and across tropic margins-as well as inland from coastal areas, likely with particular importance for fast-dispersing invasive species (Osland et al, 2023).…”

Section: What Drive S Novelt Y ?mentioning

confidence: 99%

A biogeographic–macroecological perspective on the rising novelty of the biosphere in the Anthropocene

Kerr,

Ordonez,

Riede

et al. 2023

Journal of Biogeography

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The concept of novel ecosystems has been discussed for over more than a decade to describe ecosystems that have an altered species composition and function, such that the community has crossed a threshold forbidding a return to its historical state. While spatial and temporal community compositional change has been well studied in biogeography, studies on novel ecosystems in a modern context are few and tend towards classifying novelty based on a static baseline. Given that the abiotic and biotic drivers of novelty are in a state of rapid change, and reaching levels unprecedented within the last hundred thousand to million years, defining such a threshold requires additional thought. Here, we discuss a biogeographical–macroecological perspective on novel ecosystems, exploring how such a threshold for novelty can be defined in an environment undergoing progressive global change and suggesting pathways through which the emergence and spread of novelty can be further explored, understood and managed.

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Plant migration due to winter climate change: range expansion of tropical invasive plants in response to warming winters

Cited by 8 publications

References 68 publications

Invasive Pest and Invasive Host: Where Might Spotted-Wing Drosophila (Drosophila suzukii) and American Black Cherry (Prunus serotina) Cross Paths in Europe?

Invasive Pest and Invasive Host: Where Might Spotted-Wing Drosophila (Drosophila suzukii) and American Black Cherry (Prunus serotina) Cross Paths in Europe?

Preventing the Next Plant Invasion: Opportunities and Challenges

A biogeographic–macroecological perspective on the rising novelty of the biosphere in the Anthropocene

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