Population dynamics and stability of forest insects with low density (using the example of populations of the bordered white Bupalus piniarius L.)

Isaev, A. S.; Ovchinnikova, T. M.; Palnikova, E. N.; Soukhovolsky, V. G.; Тарасова, О. В.; Khlebopros, R. G.

doi:10.1134/s1995425514070051

Cited by 7 publications

(17 citation statements)

References 5 publications

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“…In several publications it was proved that existence of time lag in reaction of main population regulators can play basic role in realization of observed in nature various types of dynamic regimes (Isaev et al, 1984(Isaev et al, , 2001Nedorezov, 1986Nedorezov, , 2012Turchin, 1990Turchin, , 2003Berryman and Turchin, 2001). Best results were obtained for Moran-Ricker model and its modification with time lag in one year (Moran, 1950;Ricker, 1954;Turchin, 2003;Turchin et al, 2003;Kendall et al, 1999) which are characterized by ability of dynamic regimes.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 84%

“…Such kind of behavior of trajectory corresponds to theoretical imaginations on permanent outbreak dynamics (Isaev et al, 1984(Isaev et al, , 2001). …”

Section: Datasetsmentioning

confidence: 93%

“…It can also be a result of interaction between insect population and parasites especially in a case when escape effect is observed in a process of interaction of species (Isaev et al, 1984(Isaev et al, , 2001Nedorezov, 1986Nedorezov, , 1997Nedorezov, , 2007. It is possible to point out some other factors and regulators which can lead to appearance of time lag in birth rate (Anderson and May 1980;Ginzburg and Taneyhill, 1994).…”

Section: Used Modelsmentioning

confidence: 97%

“…As it was pointed out in GPDD, data were collected on 1800 m above sea level that corresponds to optimal zone of species living (Isaev et al, 1984(Isaev et al, , 2001. Sample contains 38 values (first point corresponds to 1949).…”

Section: Datasetsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…population dynamics (for example, Auer, 1977;Baltensweiler, 1964Baltensweiler, , 1978Baltensweiler et al, 1977;Fischlin and Baltensweiler, 1979;Dellucchi, 1982;Isaev et al, 1984Isaev et al, , 2001Turchin, 2003;Turchin et al, 2003 and many others). Ability of publications and used models has a strong correlation with ability of various ecological theories which are devoted to the explanation of existing periodic fluctuations of larch bud moth in Swiss Alps (Royama, 1981;Turchin, 1990;Hunter and Price, 1998;Berryman, Turchin, 2001;Kendall et al, 1999;Ginzburg and Taneyhill, 1994;Anderson and May 1980).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 96%

See 4 more Smart Citations

Dynamics of larch bud moth populations: Application of Moran – Ricker models with time lag

Nedorezov

Sadykova

2015

Ecological Modelling

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 84%

“…Such kind of behavior of trajectory corresponds to theoretical imaginations on permanent outbreak dynamics (Isaev et al, 1984(Isaev et al, , 2001). …”

Section: Datasetsmentioning

confidence: 93%

Section: Used Modelsmentioning

confidence: 97%

Section: Datasetsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 96%

See 3 more Smart Citations

Dynamics of larch bud moth populations: Application of Moran – Ricker models with time lag

Nedorezov

Sadykova

2015

Ecological Modelling

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Rem Khlebopros: Life in Science

Soukhovolsky

Fomina

2018

Complex Biological Systems

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The Role of Forest Stands Characteristics on Formation of Exterior Migratory Outbreak Spots by the Siberian Silk Moth Dendrolimus sibiricus (Tschetv.) during Population Collapse

Demidko

Goroshko

Slinkina

et al. 2023

Forests

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The characteristics of Abies sibirica Ledeb.- and Pinus sibirica Du Tour dominated forests stands in outbreak spots formed during a Dendrolimus sibiricus outbreak in 2014–2017 were studied at the stage of population collapse (east of the West Siberian Plain and western foothills of the Yenisei Range). The research was based on the data obtained during ground surveys conducted in 2016 when stands characteristics, the Siberian silk moth population density, and defoliation level were recorded. We classified the studied stands using decision trees and random forest algorithms to identify the key characteristics that determine the formation of outbreak spots. The classification results showed that the characteristics of the detected outbreak spots differ significantly from those previously described for dark coniferous stands of the southern taiga in Siberia. The highest probability of the outbreak spot occurrence in the study area was revealed for stands with the following characteristics: moderately moist site; Siberian stone pine and Siberian fir take 40% or more of stem volume; age of less than 105 years. Another group of forest stands under threat are those sharing the following characteristics: large area (more than 60 ha); stand homogeneity; ground vegetation is dominated by feather mosses; age of more than 120 years; Picea obovata Ledeb. takes a significant share in a stem volume. Such characteristics indicate that during the population collapse, the Siberian silk moth forms outbreak spots in stands that either undergo an early successional stage after previous outbreak or have been slightly damaged during the previous outbreaks due to unfavorable habitat conditions.

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Population dynamics and stability of forest insects with low density (using the example of populations of the bordered white Bupalus piniarius L.)

Cited by 7 publications

References 5 publications

Dynamics of larch bud moth populations: Application of Moran – Ricker models with time lag

Dynamics of larch bud moth populations: Application of Moran – Ricker models with time lag

Rem Khlebopros: Life in Science

The Role of Forest Stands Characteristics on Formation of Exterior Migratory Outbreak Spots by the Siberian Silk Moth Dendrolimus sibiricus (Tschetv.) during Population Collapse

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