Potato Late Blight Outbreak: A Study on Advanced Classification Models Based on Meteorological Data

Abstract

While past research has emphasized the importance of late blight infection detection and classification, anticipating the potato late blight infection is crucial from the economic point of view as it helps to significantly reduce the production cost. Furthermore, it is necessary to minimize the exposure of potatoes to harmful chemicals and pesticides due to their potential adverse effects on the human immune system. Our work is based on the precise classification of late blight infections in potatoes in European countries using real-time data from 1980 to 2000. To predict the potato late blight outbreak, we incorporated several hybrid machine learning models, as well as a unique combination of stacking classifier and logistic regression, achieving the highest prediction accuracy of 87.22%. Further enhancements of these models and the use of new data sources may lead to a higher late blight prediction accuracy and, consequently, a higher efficiency in managing potatoes’ health.