Predicting the future: introducing business analytics to endoscopy units

Abstract

Percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy (PEG) endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) Full-time equivalent (FTE) Vila Nova de Gaia Espinho Hospital Centre (CHVNGE) Mean absolute percentage error (MAPE)

Forecast models to predict the demand for endoscopic procedures in a tertiary unit: a prospective validation

“…To overcome this limitation, our group used data on the demand in our tertiary unit from 2015 to 2021 (83 months) to develop forecast models using exponential smoothing techniques adjusted for trend and seasonality (derivation phase). These models were recently published at the Revista Española de Enfermedades Digestivas 2 . The present study aimed to validate those models, using prospectively collected data (validation phase).…”