Predicting the impacts of land management for sustainable development on depression risk in a Ugandan case study

Pienkowski, Thomas; Keane, Aidan; Kinyanda, Eugene; Asiimwe, Caroline; Milner‐Gulland, E.J.

doi:10.1038/s41598-022-14976-3

Cited by 5 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 74 publications

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“…Moreover, following Pienkowski et al 70 results, by helping to increase sugarcane production and diminish food insecurity, this work also contributes to SDG 3. According to the above-quoted authors, food insecurity may develop depression and mental health problems among the population.…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 54%

Measuring climate change’s impact on different sugarcane varieties production in the South of Goiás

Cruz

Machado

2023

Sci Rep

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A crucial aspect analysed during the last years, aiming to improve sugarcane production, is the impact of climate change on sugarcane productivity. One of the strategies to mitigate climate change's impact on sugarcane yield is the development of new varieties known to positively affect crop production. This paper analysed how climate change impacts sugarcane production regarding the different planted varieties. Data regarding sugarcane harvest were collected from a cooperative in the south of Goiás state—Brazil, the second biggest national sugarcane producer. Results indicate that climate impact on sugarcane yield is irrelevant when controlling for different varieties. Considering the results presented in this work, the Brazilian government should keep the incentives for the development of new sugarcane varieties and, at the same time, spur sugarcane producers to use the new sugarcane varieties. The results imply that if the variety is correctly chosen, sugarcane can be produced without harming the environment, contributing to reaching SDG 15. Moreover, it is less probable that an adverse climatic event will destroy the planted area, preventing sugarcane producers from severe loss and contributing to achieving SDGs number 1 and 2.

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Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 54%

Measuring climate change’s impact on different sugarcane varieties production in the South of Goiás

Cruz

Machado

2023

Sci Rep

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“…In the context of protected areas, a study covering 34 LMICs indicated that forest use rights in multiple-use protected areas (IUCN categories V-VI) were associated with stronger child growth (higher height-for-age) [29]. In Uganda, restricted rights to forest resources by the Budongo and Rwensama Forest Reserves were linked to psychological distress among households bordering the reserves through the negative effects of the restrictions on material wealth and food security [30].…”

Section: Property Rightsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Access to Human Health Benefits of Forests in Rural Low and Middle-Income Countries: A Literature Review and Conceptual Framework

Rasolofoson

2024

Challenges

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Forests are increasingly recognized for their beneficial roles in human health. However, there is a debate on how forest health benefits can be accessed equitably, particularly by vulnerable forest-dependent rural communities in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Access to forest health benefits is determined by a range of interconnected means, including property rights, as well as natural, physical, human, social, and financial capital. This paper presents a literature review of the roles of means of access in shaping human health effects of forests. Evidence suggests that variations in these means of access are associated with varying ability to access forest health benefits. However, existing evidence is thin, mixed, and weak. A conceptual model is then developed to provide a framework for understanding how means of access moderate the effects of forests on health in rural LMICs to guide the generation of strong evidence. The multiple interconnected factors moderating the health effects of forests at the core of the conceptual framework promote the multisectoral and transdisciplinary approaches needed to enhance equitable access to forest health benefits.

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“…Instead, predictive conservation science approaches can help ensure conservation initiatives are implemented and evaluated in ways that anticipate ever-changing conditions in socio-ecological systems [23]. Predictive research spans a wide range of quantitative and qualitative methods, from scenario-based interviews [e.g., 24, 25, 26] to mechanistic models of complete systems [e.g., 27].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Forecasting the adoption and spread of a community-based marine management initiative using agent-based models

Jørgensen,

Pienkowski,

Clark

et al. 2024

Preprint

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While many successful initiatives for conserving nature exist, efforts to take them to scale have been inadequate. Moreover, conservation science currently lacks a systematic methodology for determining if or when interventions will reach effective scales and how programmatic decisions will affect the scaling process. This paper presents a modelling framework that aims to address both issues by operationalizing Diffusion of Innovations theory and local knowledge using agent-based modelling and Bayesian inference. By applying our framework to existing data on the spatiotemporal adoption of a community-based marine management initiative in Fiji, we demonstrate that our approach can identify the mechanisms that govern the observed adoption patterns. In this case, the relative advantage of the intervention, village social networks, and perceived knowledge stand out as important drivers of adoption. Using the identified causal processes, our approach can forecast business-as-usual and counterfactual future scenarios and hence inform conservation policy. Finally, we highlight the importance of spatiotemporal data for making detailed scaling predictions. We structure the paper as a step-by-step guide, highlighting our modelling decisions and possible limitations. Thus, besides presenting a case study, this paper serves as a template for practitioners and researchers to better model the scaling process of other conservation interventions.

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Predicting the impacts of land management for sustainable development on depression risk in a Ugandan case study

Cited by 5 publications

References 74 publications

Measuring climate change’s impact on different sugarcane varieties production in the South of Goiás

Measuring climate change’s impact on different sugarcane varieties production in the South of Goiás

Access to Human Health Benefits of Forests in Rural Low and Middle-Income Countries: A Literature Review and Conceptual Framework

Forecasting the adoption and spread of a community-based marine management initiative using agent-based models

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