Predictive Estimates of System Survivability of Weapons

Abstract

The article substantiates the dependence of the effectiveness of ensuring the survivability of weapons and military equipment on the levels of intensity of countermeasures against various factors, which are characterized by the capabilities of technical means of countermeasures against the enemy's intelligence and firepower and the capabilities of his forces and means. It is the presence and timely use of opportunities and resources that will contribute to the preservation of the functions of the weapon and its restoration in case of damage. These factors in a generalized form include the counteracting effects of various modern and promising means: on the one hand, reconnaissance and enemy fire; on the other - masking of military equipment in position, movement on the march and preparation for the functioning of weapons and equipment, first of all, through the creation and wide practical application of broadband radio absorbing materials with the necessary properties of absorbing the energy of the electromagnetic field to reduce their visibility. The requirements and possibilities of effective protection of weapons and military equipment using broadband composite polymer ferrite materials that absorb the energy of waves in the microwave and infrared wave ranges of technical intelligence radar and thermal imaging devices are substantiated. It was determined: the dependence of the index of preservation of weapons functions, in the case of the use of radar masking means, on the range of their detection by technical means of intelligence; dependence of the parameters of the forecast trend of changes over time of the indicator of the recovery of weapons samples, in case of their damage by the enemy, and the confidence intervals of the trend on the prospective time interval of their combat use. A method of determining the optimal parameters of the trend of the process of changes over time of the indicator of operational readiness of weapons and military equipment in the event of their failure at a critical time interval of their operation is also proposed, which allows to determine the predictive value of the indicator of readiness for a given time of its application and to determine when the level of this indicator readiness of the weapon sample becomes unsatisfactory. Keywords: weapons and military equipment; technical means of intelligence; evaluation of the results of the use of radio absorbing materials; predictive assessments of survivability and readiness indicators; indicator of preservation of weapons functions, indicator of restoration of a sample of weapons.