Predictive Value of Current Perception Threshold for Prognosis of Pulsed Radiofrequency in Patients with Acute Herpetic Neuralgia

Abstract

Objective This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic accuracy of the Current Perception Threshold (CPT) in Acute Herpetic Neuralgia (AHN) patients receiving Pulsed Radiofrequency (PRF) therapy and to develop a corresponding prognostic model. Methods We retrospectively analyzed data from 106 AHN patients treated with PRF between January 2022 and May 2023. The occurrence of Postherpetic Neuralgia (PHN) after treatment categorized patients into non-PHN and PHN groups. The predictive role of CPT indices for PRF outcomes was assessed using the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and Area Under Curve (AUC). Then the dataset was split into a training set (n=74) and a validation set (n=32). Factors associated with PHN development were identified using univariate and multivariate logistic regression. A nomogram model was developed using significant predictors and internal validation was performed using valid set data. Results Among the 106 patients, 45 had a poor prognosis. Significant differences in age, preoperative Numerical Rating Scale (NRS) score, and 5Hz CPT ratio were observed between the groups ( p <0.05). Logistic regression identified these factors as independent predictors for PRF prognosis ( p <0.05). The 5Hz CPT ratio demonstrated predictive value (AUC= 0.764, 95% CI: 0.674–0.855). The nomogram model, incorporating these predictors, showed high AUC in both the training (0.863, 95% CI: 0.776–0.950) and validation sets (0.859, 95% CI: 0.721–0.998). Calibration curves indicated good model fit, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test confirmed this ( p >0.05). Decision Curve Analysis (DCA) highlighted the model’s predictive advantage. Conclusion The 5Hz CPT ratio can predict the prognosis of PRF in AHN patients. The nomogram model has high precision and clinical utility. It can help identify AHN patients with a poor PRF prognosis at an early stage and assist in clinical decision-making.