Probabilistic modeling and identifying fluctuations in annual extreme heatwave regimes of Karachi

Rizvi, Shahnillah Haider; Iqbal, Muhammad Jawed; Ali, Mohammad Akbar

doi:10.1007/s00703-022-00927-0

Meteorol Atmos Phys

2022

DOI: 10.1007/s00703-022-00927-0

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Probabilistic modeling and identifying fluctuations in annual extreme heatwave regimes of Karachi

Shahnillah Haider Rizvi

Muhammad Jawed Iqbal

Mohammad Akbar Ali

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2024

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Urban development and the loss of natural streams leads to increased flooding

Baig,

Atif,

Tahir

2024

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Developing countries with hard pressed economies and a rapidly growing population have a myriad of issues to face. Karachi is one of the largest cities of Pakistan and is rapidly growing. The city has been hit by floods in the year 2016, 2018, 2019 and 2020, recently. Since the early 1990s Karachi has seen a rapid spike in development and in the process many natural streams have been built over. This has led reduced space for rainwater runoff and has created problems for urban flood managers. To ascertain this, topographic records of 1940s and 1980s and Landsat imagery of 2000, 2008, 2015 and 2020 were used to map historical urban extent. Sentinel—1, Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery was used to extract flooded areas during 2015, 2017, 2019 and 2020 floods. In the year 2020, 64.3 km2 of area was flooded which was the highest. There has been a growth of 286% in urban area observed between 1980 and 2000. The city was built with several natural flood water carrying streams, north and west of it. It was found that that out of 3600 km of these streams, 870 km of streams have either been blocked or removed and a 100% in core urban area. DEM of difference (DOD) prepared by subtracting 1945 DEM from SRTM DEM indicated that most of embankments along these streams were in the areas that show erosion in DOD surface, thus explaining the expansion of built areas along historical stream channels. Forcing floods to enter these built areas.

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Urban development and the loss of natural streams leads to increased flooding

Baig,

Atif,

Tahir

2024

Discov Cities

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

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Probabilistic modeling and identifying fluctuations in annual extreme heatwave regimes of Karachi

Cited by 1 publication

References 54 publications

Urban development and the loss of natural streams leads to increased flooding

Urban development and the loss of natural streams leads to increased flooding

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