Prognostic value of different discretization parameters in 18fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography radiomics of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma

Abstract

We aim to interrogate the role of positron emission tomography (PET) image discretization parameters on the prognostic value of radiomic features in patients with oropharyngeal cancer.Approach: A prospective clinical trial (NCT01908504) enrolled patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (N ¼ 69; mixed HPV status) undergoing definitive radiotherapy and evaluated intra-treatment 18 fluorodeoxyglucose PET as a potential imaging biomarker of early metabolic response. The primary tumor volume was manually segmented by a radiation oncologist on PET/CT images acquired two weeks into treatment (20 Gy). From this, 54 radiomic texture features were extracted. Two image discretization techniques-fixed bin number (FBN) and fixed bin size (FBS)-were considered to evaluate systematic changes in the bin number ({32, 64, 128, 256} gray levels) and bin size ({0.10, 0.15, 0.22, 0.25} bin-widths). For each discretization-specific radiomic feature space, an LASSOregularized logistic regression model was independently trained to predict residual and/or recurrent disease. The model training was based on Monte Carlo crossvalidation with a 20% testing hold-out, 50 permutations, and minor-class up-sampling to account for imbalanced outcomes data. Performance differences among the discretization-specific models were quantified via receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. A final parameter-optimized logistic regression model was developed by incorporating different settings parameterizations into the same model.Results: FBN outperformed FBS in predicting residual and/or recurrent disease. The four FBN models achieved AUC values of 0.63, 0.61, 0.65, and 0.62 for 32, 64, 128, and 256 gray levels, respectively. By contrast, the average AUC of the four FBS models was 0.53. The parameter-optimized model, comprising features joint entropy (FBN = 64) and information measure correlation 1 (FBN = 128), achieved an AUC of 0.70. Kaplan-Meier analyses identified these features to be associated with disease-free survival (p ¼ 0.0158 and p ¼ 0.0180, respectively; log-rank test).