Regional rural and structural transformations and farmer's income in the past four decades in China

Huang, Jikun; Shi, Peipei

doi:10.1108/caer-11-2020-0262

Cited by 34 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 30 publications

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“…In the meantime, the structure of agricultural production has shifted towards high-value and highprotein products (NBSC 2020). The farm economy is now highly commercialized and the output value of high-value commodities (including vegetables, fruits, livestock and fish) has, on average, accounted for around 70% of agricultural output value (Huang and Shi 2021).…”

Section: Evolution Of Food and Nutrition Security In Chinamentioning

confidence: 99%

Transforming Chinese Food Systems for Both Human and Planetary Health

Fan

Huang

Zhang

et al. 2023

Science and Innovations for Food Systems Transformation

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Over the past four decades, China’s food security and nutritional status have improved significantly, as witnessed in the elimination of hunger and poverty, increased diversity of diets, and reduction in child stunting. However, Chinese food systems will face even greater challenges in the future. These include constraints of natural resources, climate change, and multiple challenges of malnutrition, food safety, and external shocks from a volatile international market. Fortunately, the Chinese government has made important commitments in the “Fourteenth Five-year Plan” on food and nutrition security, health, the environment and climate change, including achieving carbon neutrality by 2060. The purpose of this chapter is to review major achievements and their enabling factors, future challenges and government strategies, as well as our recommendations for transforming Chinese food systems in regard to both human and planetary health. This chapter will help to bring voices of emerging economies like China in setting the global food system agenda, providing useful insights on the transformation of its own food systems, as well as those in other countries.

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Section: Evolution Of Food and Nutrition Security In Chinamentioning

confidence: 99%

Transforming Chinese Food Systems for Both Human and Planetary Health

Fan

Huang

Zhang

et al. 2023

Science and Innovations for Food Systems Transformation

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…The productions of high-value agricultural products (such as livestock, fishing, diary and fruits) grew more rapidly than low-value products (such as grains and cotton). Underlying the rapid expansion of agricultural production, there are four main drivers including technology progress, institutional innovations, marketization reforms and increased public investment, having contributed to rapid agricultural productivity growth (Huang and Shi, 2021). For the period of 1978–2020, agricultural TFP has grown at the rate of 2.3% per year, which has accounted for around half of agricultural output growth.…”

Section: China's Agricultural Development Under Decarbonization Schem...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Dual carbon goals and the impact on future agricultural development in China: a general equilibrium analysis

Wei

Cui

Sheng

2022

CAER

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PurposeThis paper aims to explore the future path of agricultural development in China toward 2060 under the dual carbon goals, so as to inform better policy choices for facilitating agricultural and rural transformation toward the goal of maintaining food security, sustainable income growth and low carbon emission.Design/methodology/approachThis study employs a single-country, multi-sectoral computable general equilibrium model, CHINAGEM model and develops eight illustrative scenarios to simulate the impacts of attaining dual carbon goals on agricultural development in China. Additional two scenarios have also been designed to inform better policy making with the aim to offset the negative impact of the decarbonization schemes through facilitating agricultural technology progress.FindingsDual carbon goals are projected to impose substantial negative impact on agricultural productions and consumptions in China in the coming four decades. Under the assumption of business as usual, agricultural production will reduce by 0.49–8.94% along with the attainment of carbon neutrality goal by 2060, with the production of cereals and high-value being more severely damaged. To mitigate the adverse impact of the decarbonization schemes, it is believed that fastening technology progress in agriculture is one of the most efficient ways for maintaining domestic food security without harming the dual carbon goals. In particular, if agricultural productivity (particularly, for cereals and high-value products) can be increased by another 1% per year, the production losses caused by carbon emission mitigation will be fully offset. This implies that promoting technology progress is still the best way to facilitate agricultural development and rural transformation in future China.Originality/valueThe paper contributes to the literature in better informing the impact of dual carbon goals on China's agriculture and the effectiveness of technology progress in agriculture on buffering the adverse impact of the decarbonization schemes and promoting agricultural development.

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“…Agricultural growth and structural optimization have not only improved food security for both urban and rural residents but also met the demands for food consumption and nutrition improvement. Agricultural development has also contributed to non-agricultural employment growth in rural areas, promoting rural economic transformation and improving farmers' income [8,9].…”

Section: China's Agricultural Development: Achievements and Evolution...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Strategies for China's Agricultural Development Toward 2050

2022

Chinese Journal of Engineering Science

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In the era of global change, it is essential to analyze the future trend of agricultural development in China and forecast the direction and path of China's agricultural modernization towards 2050 to assist policymaking. In this study, we first investigate agricultural development in China over the past four decades and then analyze the opportunities and challenges that China's agricultural development is facing. Lastly, we forecast future agricultural development in China. Our study shows that China's agriculture has experienced rapid growth over the past four decades; institutional innovation, technological progress, marketization reform, and public investment are the four major driving forces. However, agricultural development in China still encounters many challenges, including a slowdown in productivity growth, degradation of soil and water, and uncertainty of the global supply chain. This implies that, towards 2050, China should adhere to the principles of innovation, green, high efficiency, and sustainability, and accelerate agricultural modernization by efficiently producing more high-valued and green products to maintain food security and self-sustained grain supply. To achieve this long-term goal, the government should deploy seven major strategies focusing on biological technology, seedling innovation and among others, and initiate a series of agriculture-supportive policies.

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Regional rural and structural transformations and farmer's income in the past four decades in China

Cited by 34 publications

References 30 publications

Transforming Chinese Food Systems for Both Human and Planetary Health

Transforming Chinese Food Systems for Both Human and Planetary Health

Dual carbon goals and the impact on future agricultural development in China: a general equilibrium analysis

Strategies for China's Agricultural Development Toward 2050

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