Relationship Between Terrorism and Macroeconomic Variables: Especially Import of Crude Oil and Natural Gas in Turkey

Dural, Betül Yüce; Jahangir, Rashed

doi:10.7816/ulakbilge-05-14-09

Cited by 2 publications

(1 citation statement)

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“…Forecasting with Box-Cox transformation is more accurate than the original data used. Yuce Dural & Jahangir (2017) linked terrorist activities to oil and gas imports in Turkey; the results show that terrorist activities have a positive correlation to oil and gas imports; this cannot be separated from the unstable economic conditions in Turkey and the significant contribution of the oil and gas sector in Turkey.…”

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confidence: 97%

Structural Analysis of Import Oil and Gas in Indonesia

Azzahra,

Adi Kurniawan

2023

JEP

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As a world crude oil exporter, Indonesia can only meet domestic oil needs of 40% and 60% through imports. The level of imports in the oil and gas sector, which is higher than exports, impacts the trade balance, which can threaten the stability of the domestic economy. This study analyzes oil and gas import policies using time-series data from 2005Q1-2021Q4 using the VECM approach. The study results show that GDP, inflation, world oil prices, and interest rates affect oil and gas imports. Structural analysis shows that inflation and world oil prices are essential in oil and gas import policies. The implications of the research show that apart from political policies, decisions on oil and gas imports must also pay attention to conditions of domestic inflation and international oil prices to stabilize domestic economic conditions.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 97%

Structural Analysis of Import Oil and Gas in Indonesia

Azzahra,

Adi Kurniawan

2023

JEP

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Link Between Terrorism and Social, Economic and Security-Political Factors

Bøeò

Zeman

Urban

2019

WIT Transactions on the Built Environment

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Terrorism is formulated as a planned use of violence targeting a wide range public. The aim of terrorism is to attract attention and cause fear through which specific political, religious or ideological intentions are achieved. An integral part of the issue of terrorism is not only the consequences of committed terrorist acts which lead to subsequent security measures but also the cause of terrorist activities which determine the reasons why people are motivated for these activities. The immediate causes of terrorist attacks vary on a case-by-case basis so their determination is not generally possible. However, it is possible to identify and analyze factors, which create preconditions for the emergence of terrorism. Some publications suggest that poor structural social conditions, economic deprivation and securitypolitical instability situations create frustration, which in turn makes terrorism more likely. The paper deals with the social factors (social inequality, standard of living, level of citizen's education), economic factors (GDP, unemployment, inflation) and security-political factors (corruption, criminality, political instability, government ineffectiveness, war and violent conflict) which potentially generate future terrorist activities. The main aim is to find out correlations between these factors and terrorism. In order to calculate results we gathered data (relevant indexes and indicators, which express individual social/economic/security-political factors) in 162 countries in the year 2017. Using Spearman's correlation coefficient as the statistical method, we made comprehensive statements about the link between individual social/economic/security-political factors and terrorism. Many previous analysis, studies and publications have focused on this issue but there are different statements about the causes of terrorism. This paper confirms some of these statements -that social inequality, GDP, current war conflict, corruption and political instability have increased the terrorist threat throughout the world.

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Relationship Between Terrorism and Macroeconomic Variables: Especially Import of Crude Oil and Natural Gas in Turkey

Cited by 2 publications

References 9 publications

Structural Analysis of Import Oil and Gas in Indonesia

Structural Analysis of Import Oil and Gas in Indonesia

Link Between Terrorism and Social, Economic and Security-Political Factors

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