Revisiting the complex time-varying effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 transmission in the United States
Gonghua Wu,
Wanfang Zhang,
Wenjing Wu
et al.
Abstract:IntroductionAlthough the global COVID-19 emergency ended, the real-world effects of multiple non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) and the relative contribution of individual NPIs over time were poorly understood, limiting the mitigation of future potential epidemics.MethodsBased on four large-scale datasets including epidemic parameters, virus variants, vaccines, and meteorological factors across 51 states in the United States from August 2020 to July 2022, we established a Bayesian hierarchical model with … Show more
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