Roadmap to Gridlock: The Failure of Long-Range Metropolitan Transportation Planning

O’Toole, Randal

doi:10.2139/ssrn.1291783

Cited by 3 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 26 publications

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“…Finally, many opponents of rail transit fear that it will transport inner city crime to suburban neighborhoods and increase criminal activity around station areas. Public meetings, local newspaper stories, political cartoons, and activist blogs are replete with examples of fears that rail transit and the various stops along the lines will increase crime at the station and/or in the neighborhood around the station (see e.g., O’Toole, 2008; Spivak, 2008; The Antiplanner, 2007).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Effects of the Announcement and Opening of Light Rail Transit Stations on Neighborhood Crime

Billings

Leland

Swindell

2011

Journal of Urban Affairs

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The debate over crime and rail transit focuses on whether such investments "breed" criminal activities with new targets of opportunity or transport crime from the inner city to the suburbs. Yet, little empirical evidence exists on whether new rail transit actually does lead to increased crime rates around stations. In order to study this question, we test the relationship between crime and rail transit with the 2007 opening of the Charlotte light rail line. We use Geographical Information Systems software and micro-level data on reported crimes to generate measures of criminal activity in and around light rail transit (LRT) stations. We then implement a quasi-experimental before-and-after methodology using two alternate transit corridors to control for differences between neighborhoods that contain LRT stations and other neighborhoods. We find light rail does not actually increase crime around stations. Instead, we see a decrease in property crimes once the station locations are announced, which remains relatively stable after the light rail begins operating.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Effects of the Announcement and Opening of Light Rail Transit Stations on Neighborhood Crime

Billings

Leland

Swindell

2011

Journal of Urban Affairs

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Hubris or humility? Accuracy issues for the next 50 years of travel demand modeling

Hartgen

2013

Transportation

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Assessing Impacts of New Subway Stations on Urban Thefts in the Surrounding Areas

Chen

Liu

et al. 2021

IJGI

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Whether newly implemented public transit stations influence the nearby crime pattern has been debated for years. In ZG City, China, 2 new subway lines and 20 new stations were implemented in 2017. This intervention allows us to test the plausible relationship between new public transit stations and thefts in the surrounding areas. We use the difference-in-differences (DID) model to assess the theft in the treatment and control areas before and after the implementation of the new stations, with necessary socioeconomic and land-use variables and time from the addition of the station being controlled. We also explicitly examine the impacts of the proximity of the stations and the Spring Festival on theft. The results suggest the following: (1) theft around the new subway stations significantly increases after the stations’ implementation, while the control area does not see much change in thefts; (2) proximity between the neighboring stations’ increases thefts; and (3) theft near the new stations significantly decreases during the month of the Spring Festival. This study contributes to the literature on the relationship between the subway system and crime, especially from a Chinese perspective. The finding of the research can bring insights to urban transit planning, allocation of the police force, and crime prevention.

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Roadmap to Gridlock: The Failure of Long-Range Metropolitan Transportation Planning

Cited by 3 publications

References 26 publications

The Effects of the Announcement and Opening of Light Rail Transit Stations on Neighborhood Crime

The Effects of the Announcement and Opening of Light Rail Transit Stations on Neighborhood Crime

Hubris or humility? Accuracy issues for the next 50 years of travel demand modeling

Assessing Impacts of New Subway Stations on Urban Thefts in the Surrounding Areas

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