Safeguarding the Future: Governing in an Uncertain World

Boston, Jonathan

doi:10.7810/9780947518257

Cited by 27 publications

(27 citation statements)

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…More broadly, biosecurity regulations, strict quarantine, and early detection activities should be considered within the framework of robust anticipatory policymaking (Boston 2016(Boston , 2017. Anticipatory policy-making for emerging alien species is to be guided by the philosophies of adaptiveness and the precautionary principle (Conroy and Peterson 2013;Boston 2016Boston , 2017. Adaptiveness will require frequently evaluating the performance of preventive tools and policies, such as risk assessments and quarantine, against indicators of risk reduction, and updating the management actions as necessary (Rout et al 2014;Lodge et al 2016).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Low detectability of alien reptiles can lead to biosecurity management failure: a case study from Christmas Island (Australia)

García‐Díaz¹,

Ross²,

Vall‐llosera³

et al. 2019

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When we assume that contemporary management actions will be effective against the global rise of emerging alien species, we can develop management complacency, which leads to potentially disastrous outcomes for native biodiversity. Here, we propose the use of the probability of detection as a metric to assess the feasibility of management actions for alien species. We explore how detectability can influence the management of alien reptiles, a group of emergent alien vertebrates globally. We use a Rapid Biological Assessment method (time-limited transects) to estimate the probability of detection for alien reptiles present on Christmas Island (Australia). Across the five species studied, we found low probabilities of detection and poor explanatory capacity of the individual covariates included in our models. These findings indicate that management options to deal with alien reptiles are limited due to the potential high cost and low efficacy associated with low probabilities of detection. Strict preventive strategies, firmly espousing the principles of adaptiveness and precautionary policies, combined with early detection and biosecurity response activities are needed to address the emergence of alien reptiles. Our research was focussed on alien reptiles on islands, but the rise of new pools of alien species from all taxonomic realms across the world suggests that our conclusions may be applicable more generally. Further research is called for to explore the applicability of our conclusions and recommendations to other taxonomic groups and regions of the world. A peer-reviewed open-access journal NeoBiotaPablo García-Díaz et al. / NeoBiota 45: 75-92 (2019) 76

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Low detectability of alien reptiles can lead to biosecurity management failure: a case study from Christmas Island (Australia)

García‐Díaz¹,

Ross²,

Vall‐llosera³

et al. 2019

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“…Scholars are also beginning to engage with the issue. In considering the question of climate change funding in some detail, Boston andLawrence (2017, 2018) have highlighted the profound ethical and administrative issues that need to be addressed in developing any principled approach to compensation. Although there is a vast legal literature on the law of takings and compensation, very little of it addresses the emerging question of compensation in the context of climate change (although see (Berry and Vella, 2010) which considers the question of regulation, property rights and managing coastal hazards).…”

Section: Compensation Anxietymentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Lawrence, 2018). While it is beyond the scope of this article to consider the ethical arguments in any detail, it seems inarguable that any regime settled on should be 'consistent with widely accepted principles of social equity (or distributive justice)' (Boston andLawrence, 2018, citing Kunreuther andPauly, 2017).…”

Section: Towards a Principled Approachmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Beyond the question of whether it is possible to use the Act for this purpose, lies the question of whether a decision to 'retreat' should be made at the national or community level. The current scheme of the Act suggests that, for the most part decisions affecting a community should be made by the community, but where large sums of money are involved and difficult decisions need to be made, the local level may not be appropriate (Boston, 2017). Thus, the law will help to identify who (if anyone) is empowered to make a decision, and the process by which such a decision can be made.…”

Section: Towards a Principled Approachmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Climate change compensation

Tombs¹,

France-Hudson²

2018

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Climate change will cause significant loss and damage throughout New Zealand. This will affect everyone. When considering the options for responding, compensation will inevitably be raised, as either a requirement or a policy choice. Many people, however, appear reticent to engage with ‘compensation’ either as a word or as a concept; preferring to avoid it altogether. This article argues that compensation will be an unavoidable part of the discussion about how best to respond to the challenges of climate change. It is an integral aspect of the law of compulsory acquisition and the Public Works Act. It sits in the background to both legal and popular understandings of other statutory regimes such as the Biosecurity and Earthquake Commission Acts. This article explores the ramifications of this observation from a legal perspective and suggests that careful thought should be given, as soon as possible, to the development of a principled approach to compensation for climate change loss and damage.

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Four approaches to anticipatory climate governance: Different conceptions of the future and implications for the present

Muiderman

Gupta

Vervoort

et al. 2020

WIREs Climate Change

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In times of accelerating earth system transformations and their potentially disruptive societal consequences, imagining and governing the future is now a core challenge for sustainability research and practice. Much social science and sustainability science scholarship increasingly engages with the future. There is, however, a lack of scrutiny of how the future is envisioned in these literatures, and with what implications for governance in the present. This article analyses these two aspects, building on the concept of "anticipatory governance." We understand anticipatory governance to broadly mean governing in the present to adapt to or shape uncertain futures. We review perspectives within public policy, futures studies, social-ecological systems, environmental policy and governance, transition studies, science and technology studies, and responsible research and innovation literatures. All these literatures engage explicitly or implicitly with the notion of anticipatory governance, yet from distinct ontological and epistemological starting points. Through our review, we identify four approaches to anticipatory governance that differ with regard to (a) their conceptions of and engagement with the future; (b) their implications for actions to be taken in the present; and (c) the ultimate end to be realized through anticipatory governance. We then map onto these four approaches a diverse set of methods and tools of anticipation that each engages with. In concluding, we discuss how these four approaches provide a useful analytical lens through which to assess ongoing practices of anticipatory governance in the climate and sustainability realm.

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Safeguarding the Future: Governing in an Uncertain World

Cited by 27 publications

References 0 publications

Low detectability of alien reptiles can lead to biosecurity management failure: a case study from Christmas Island (Australia)

Low detectability of alien reptiles can lead to biosecurity management failure: a case study from Christmas Island (Australia)

Climate change compensation

Four approaches to anticipatory climate governance: Different conceptions of the future and implications for the present

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