Seasonal Population Dynamics, Sampling Distribution, and Fixed-Precision Sequential Sampling of Spectrobates ceratoniae (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) in Pomegranate Orchards

Abstract

The carob moth, Spectrobates ceratoniae Zeller, is the most destructive pest of pomegranate groves of Iran. Seasonal population dynamics of the pest was studied in pomegranate orchards of Sirvan, Ilam province, in southwestern Iran for 2 yr (2016/2017). Sampling distribution of the pest larvae on pomegranate fruits was evaluated by Taylor’s power law and Iwao’s patchiness index, and a fixed-precision sequential sampling plan of the pest was developed using Green’s model. The adult population peaked in June. The activity period of the larvae was observed from June to October and peaked in October. Sampling distribution of the larvae on pomegranate fruits was random. Estimated optimum sample sizes ranged from 1 to 44 and 1 to 16 fruits at precision levels of 0.25 and 0.1, respectively.