Seroprevalence of Anti-SARS-CoV-2 Antibodies in a Cohort of New York City Metro Blood Donors using Multiple SARS-CoV-2 Serological Assays: Implications for Controlling the Epidemic and “Reopening”

Abstract

Projections of the stage of the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome-Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic and local, regional and national public health policies designed to limit the spread of the epidemic as well as reopen cities and states, are best informed by reproducible, high throughput, and statically credible antibody (Ab) assays. To date, a myriad of Ab tests, both available and authorized for emergency use by the FDA, has led to confusion rather than insight per se. The present study reports the results of a rapid, point-in-time 1,000-person cohort study using serial blood donors in the New York City metropolitan area (NYC) using multiple serological tests, including enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISAs) and high throughput serological assays (HTSAs). These were then tested and associated with assays for neutralizing Ab (NAb). Of the 1,000 NYC blood donor samples in late June and early July 2020, 12.1% and 10.9% were seropositive using the Ortho Total Ig and the Abbott IgG HTSA assays, respectively. These serological assays correlated with neutralization activity specific to SARS-CoV-2. The data reported herein suggest that seroconversion in this population occurred in approximately 1 in 8 blood donors from the beginning of the pandemic in NYC (considered March 1, 2020). These findings deviate with an earlier seroprevalence study in NYC showing 13.7% positivity. Collectively however, these data demonstrate that a low number of individuals have serologic evidence of infection during this first wave and suggest that the notion of herd immunity at rates of ~60% or higher are not near. Furthermore, the data presented herein show that the nature of the Ab-based immunity is not invariably associated with the development of NAb. While the blood donor population may not mimic precisely the NYC population as a whole, rapid assessment of seroprevalence in this cohort and serial reassessment could aid public health decision making.

Current challenges of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) seroprevalence studies among blood donors: A scoping review

“…At least one in-house assay was used by 33% of studies. Overall, 39% of studies adjusted seroprevalence estimates by imperfect test characteristics; (38%; 5/13) of the studies used the Rogan-Gladen [12-14, 24, 43] equation to adjust for imperfect sensitivity and specificity and (54%; 7/13) used Bayesian methods [18,22,23,31,32,40,44] and one study did not state the method for adjustment [42]. Only two studies (Sweden and Brazil), adjusted their seroprevalence estimates for waning antibodies [23,43].…”